Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v Carolina Panthers

2026-09-27 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

45%

55%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd

EV +0.525%

Edge +0.233%

Kelly +0.420%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.60%44.68%44.68%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.51%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd

EV -0.420%

Edge -0.233%

Kelly -0.525%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.25%55.32%55.32%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.671.721.701.8059.88%58.03%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Browns (Local): 44.68%; Carolina Panthers (Visit): 55.32%. For Cleveland Browns (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.25, producing a positive expected value of +0.525%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.525%E +0.233%K +0.420%G +0.002%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-01 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 16:04
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.420%E -0.233%K -0.525%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 08:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.