The School of Odds

Cleveland Browns v Carolina Panthers

2026-09-27 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd
EV +0.525%
Edge +0.233%
Kelly +0.420%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.68%44.68%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2549%47%47%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd
EV -0.420%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.525%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%55.32%55.32%57.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.731.8060%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.525%E +0.233%K +0.420%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 20:40
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.41%E -4.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.420%E -0.233%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.