Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Browns v Carolina Panthers

Início: 2026-09-27 17:02 UTC

Final: Cleveland Browns 21–18 Carolina Panthers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Previsão 45.78%2.18odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.731%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.16%45.89%45.74%47.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.892.082.102.1552.91%48.02%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Carolina Panthers (Visitante)

Previsão 54.22%1.84odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.51%54.11%54.26%55.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.761.761.8164.10%56.91%56.82%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Browns (Local): 45.78%; Carolina Panthers (Visitante): 54.22%. Para Cleveland Browns (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.15, com valor esperado de -1.57%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.57%E -0.731%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.57%E -0.731%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 09:35
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.57%E -0.731%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 16:50
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.57%E -0.731%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.83%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 16:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -2.03%E -0.948%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -2.03%E -0.948%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -2.03%E -0.948%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -2.03%E -0.948%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.03%E -0.948%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 15:45
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.94%E -1.39%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-27 16:55
ReBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.94%E -1.39%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 16:04
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.94%E -1.39%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.94%E -1.39%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:20
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 11:48
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:45
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:30
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 02:55
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 00:29
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 12:09
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 17:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 16:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 15:45
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 16:15
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 14:23
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 14:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 14:34
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 17:00
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:20
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:20
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 17:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 00:35
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-27 16:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.23%E -2.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.23%E -2.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 12:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 15:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 15:25
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.06%E -3.48%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.06%E -3.48%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 17:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 15:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 15:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.83%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 16:33
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.83%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -8.90%E -4.47%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.22%EV -13.47%E -7.13%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 54.78%EV -15.42%E -9.88%K -27.53%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-27 15:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-27 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-09-27 17:00
ProphetX◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%0.4%2026-09-27 16:55
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-09-27 16:55
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-27 16:09
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-27 14:50
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-09-27 16:55