Language:English
Cincinnati Bengals v Jacksonville Jaguars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Bengals (Local)
Prediction 56.39%1.77fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.33%56.33%56.37%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.691.701.7464.52%59.12%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)
Prediction 43.61%2.29fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.887%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%43.67%43.63%45.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.182.192.3251.81%45.87%45.66%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bengals (Local): 56.39%; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit): 43.61%. For Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +1.17%E +0.505%K +0.887%G +0.010% | 1.9% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.298%E +0.130%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 06:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -4.50%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -4.50%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.50%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.37%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.81%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 15:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 06:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 06:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 06:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 06:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.55%E -3.56%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.73%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.46%EV -12.59%E -8.12%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.54%EV -15.84%E -8.21%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 16:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11% | 1.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.9% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |