Cincinnati Bengals v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-10-04 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Prediction 57.14%1.75fair odd

EV -0.576%

Edge -0.331%

Kelly -0.778%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.15%57.14%57.14%59.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.591.671.671.7463%60%60%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 42.86%2.33fair odd

EV -1.42%

Edge -0.619%

Kelly -1.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.87%42.86%42.86%44.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.142.222.222.3047%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -0.576%E -0.331%K -0.778%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-17 17:29
Caesars	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.15%E -5.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.42%E -0.619%K -1.09%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-26 09:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.