Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bengals v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-10-04 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Prediction 57.14%1.75fair odd

EV -0.576%

Edge -0.331%

Kelly -0.778%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.15%57.14%57.14%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.671.671.7462.89%60.00%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 42.86%2.33fair odd

EV -1.42%

Edge -0.619%

Kelly -1.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.87%42.86%42.86%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.142.212.202.3046.73%45.18%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cincinnati Bengals (Local): 57.14%; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit): 42.86%. For Cincinnati Bengals (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.74, with an expected value of -0.576%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -0.576%E -0.331%K -0.778%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -8.28%E -3.87%K -7.26%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-06 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.58%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.76%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 22:40
Caesars🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.15%E -5.75%K -15.50%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.42%E -0.619%K -1.09%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-26 09:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.