Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Bengals v Jacksonville Jaguars

Início: 2026-10-04 17:02 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Bengals 17–22 Jacksonville Jaguars

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Previsão 56.39%1.77odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.33%56.33%56.37%57.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.691.701.7464.52%59.12%58.82%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante)

Previsão 43.61%2.29odd justa
EV +1.17%
Vantagem +0.505%
Kelly +0.887%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.07%43.67%43.63%45.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.182.192.3251.81%45.87%45.66%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Bengals (Local): 56.39%; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante): 43.61%. Para Jacksonville Jaguars (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.29. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.32, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +1.17%E +0.505%K +0.887%G +0.010%1.9%2026-10-04 16:40
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.298%E +0.130%K +0.230%G +0.001%3.4%2026-10-04 16:59
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.88%E -0.836%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 17:00
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 18:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 06:19
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.19%E -1.44%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-28 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 17:00
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 16:58
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 16:45
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 16:15
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.06%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -4.50%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -4.50%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.50%E -2.05%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.37%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.81%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:00
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 15:44
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 06:15
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 06:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 06:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 13:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.55%E -3.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.88%E -1.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.73%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 16:59
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-04 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.46%EV -12.59%E -8.12%K -22.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.54%EV -15.84%E -8.21%K -17.03%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-10-04 17:00
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-10-04 17:00
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-04 16:31
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-04 15:45
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-10-04 17:00
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-10-04 16:55