Chicago Bears v New England Patriots

2026-10-23 00:15 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Chicago Bears (Local)

Odds

1.8055.56%Min

1.8155.10%Mean

1.8155.10%Median

1.8354.64%Max

Consensus probabilities

52.00%1.923Min

52.22%1.915Max

52.11%1.919Mean

52.11%1.919Median

52.11%1.919IQM

52.13%1.918Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 52.11%

EV -4.64%Edge -2.54%Kelly -5.59%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New England Patriots (Visit)

Odds

1.9551.28%Min

1.9850.63%Mean

1.9850.63%Median

2.0050.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

47.78%2.093Min

48.00%2.083Max

47.89%2.088Mean

47.89%2.088Median

47.89%2.088IQM

47.87%2.089Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 47.89%

EV -4.22%Edge -2.11%Kelly -4.22%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Chicago Bears (Local) ▼	New England Patriots (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.64% E -2.54% K -5.59% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.22% E -2.11% K -4.22% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-15 00:25
Caesars	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -6.20% E -3.45% K -7.75% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -6.61% E -3.39% K -6.96% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth