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Chicago Bears v New England Patriots
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Bears (Local)
Predicción 58.27%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.903%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.24%58.23%59.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.631.651.6966.67%61.21%60.79%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New England Patriots (Visitante)
Predicción 41.73%2.40momio equitativo
EV +0.155%
Ventaja +0.064%
Kelly +0.110%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%41.76%41.77%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.282.302.4050.00%43.87%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Bears (Local): 58.27%; New England Patriots (Visitante): 41.73%. Para New England Patriots (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.396. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.400, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.155%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.155%E +0.064%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-22 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.19%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.155%E +0.064%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-23 00:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.680%E -0.286%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-22 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.10%E -0.463%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.93%E -0.822%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.93%E -0.822%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-23 00:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.93%E -0.822%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.19%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.93%E -0.822%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-22 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.35%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.35%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-22 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.35%E -1.00%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-22 22:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -2.77%E -1.19%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-23 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-22 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-22 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-22 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-22 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-22 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.19%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.02%E -1.75%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-22 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.69%E -2.52%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.53%E -0.903%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.86%E -2.34%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.44%E -2.71%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-23 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-22 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-23 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.35%E -4.62%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.10%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-23 00:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.94%E -3.11%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.94%E -3.11%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.94%E -3.11%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.94%E -3.11%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.27%E -1.97%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.94%E -3.11%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.19%E -3.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-23 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.19%E -3.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.19%E -3.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.19%E -3.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.94%E -5.02%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-23 00:13 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.68%E -6.25%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.60%E -8.40%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -16.54%E -8.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-10-23 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44% | -0.2% | 2026-10-23 00:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-10-22 18:47 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-23 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-20 02:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-22 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-10-23 00:10 |