Language:English
Chicago Bears v Minnesota Vikings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Bears (Local)
Prediction 65.58%1.52fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.32%65.62%65.60%67.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.451.451.5075.76%68.82%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Vikings (Visit)
Prediction 34.42%2.91fair odd
EV +3.25%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.74%34.38%34.40%35.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.772.753.0040.32%36.15%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Bears (Local): 65.58%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 34.42%. For Minnesota Vikings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV +3.25%E +1.08%K +1.62%G +0.053% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.196%E -0.068%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 13:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -2.61%E -0.921%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 16:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 16:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 10:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -3.98%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -3.98%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:13 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.33%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 16:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 03:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 03:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 03:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 03:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.39%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 16:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.26%EV -13.43%E -10.17%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.74%EV -14.65%E -5.91%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 16:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87% | 2.2% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |