Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Bears v Minnesota Vikings

Inicio: 2026-09-20 17:02 UTC

Final: Chicago Bears 3–9 Minnesota Vikings

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Predicción 65.58%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -3.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.32%65.62%65.60%67.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.321.451.451.5075.76%68.82%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Vikings (Visitante)

Predicción 34.42%2.91momio equitativo
EV +3.25%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.74%34.38%34.40%35.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.482.772.753.0040.32%36.15%36.36%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Bears (Local): 65.58%; Minnesota Vikings (Visitante): 34.42%. Para Minnesota Vikings (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.91. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.25%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV +3.25%E +1.08%K +1.62%G +0.053%1.8%2026-09-20 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.196%E -0.068%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 16:39
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 13:39
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.53%E -5.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -1.92%E -0.673%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 14:19
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -2.61%E -0.921%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 16:14
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 16:09
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 19:05
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 16:39
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 16:39
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 16:33
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 15:28
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 15:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 10:44
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.62%E -1.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -3.98%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-20 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -3.98%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 16:13
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.33%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:48
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:09
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:19
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 16:34
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 16:35
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:13
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:34
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:34
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:34
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 15:24
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 13:34
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 03:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 03:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 03:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 03:54
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.39%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 16:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:44
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.80%E -3.32%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:59
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 16:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 16:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.26%EV -13.43%E -10.17%K -41.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.74%EV -14.65%E -5.91%K -9.90%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-20 16:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-09-20 16:55
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-20 16:09
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-20 16:59
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.6%2026-09-20 16:59
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-09-20 16:59
BetOpenly◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%2.2%2026-09-20 16:55