The School of Odds

Buffalo Bills v Baltimore Ravens

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 57.42%1.74fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%57.42%57.42%57.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.671.671.6861%60%60%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Ravens (Visit)

Prediction 42.58%2.35fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%42.58%42.58%42.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.242.252.252.2545%45%45%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.62%E -2.06%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.