The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Buffalo Bills v Baltimore Ravens

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:02 UTC

Final: Buffalo Bills 36–10 Baltimore Ravens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 60.74%1.65fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%60.71%60.78%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.571.571.6269.93%63.74%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visit)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV +0.104%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.067%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%39.29%39.22%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.432.432.5546.08%41.23%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Bills (Local): 60.74%; Baltimore Ravens (Visit): 39.26%. For Baltimore Ravens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.547. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.550, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.104%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.46%E -4.19%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.104%E +0.041%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.81%E -1.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.681%E -0.269%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-01 16:35
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.07%E -0.426%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 17:10
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.42%E -2.15%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-29 14:41
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.06%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 16:49
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.06%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 16:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.06%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.06%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.06%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.06%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.86%E -0.743%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.42%E -2.15%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.25%E -0.904%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.42%E -2.15%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.25%E -0.904%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.25%E -0.904%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.46%E -4.19%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.25%E -0.904%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-01 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-29 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-29 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-29 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-29 15:19
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-01 17:20
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.42%E -2.15%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 17:55
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-29 13:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.82%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-01 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.21%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -2.81%E -1.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-29 15:19
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -2.81%E -1.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.46%E -4.19%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 17:10
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -5.00%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.20%E -1.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 16:19
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 15:19
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 15:19
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 15:19
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 17:55
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.77%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.77%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 02:25
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.06%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.60%E -0.985%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -7.35%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.81%E -1.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:10
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.81%E -1.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.81%E -1.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:55
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.81%E -1.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 17:55
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%EV -7.67%E -5.05%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -8.92%E -3.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 17:54
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.85%E -3.77%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 17:58
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.85%E -3.77%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 17:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.28%EV -13.14%E -9.19%K -30.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.72%EV -14.81%E -6.83%K -12.66%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-29 15:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-11-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-11-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-11-01 17:55
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-11-01 18:00
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-10-30 11:40
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-11-01 18:00
BetOpenly◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-11-01 17:49