Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Buffalo Bills v Baltimore Ravens

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Predicción 62.33%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%62.34%62.44%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.531.531.5771.43%65.44%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visitante)

Predicción 37.67%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.66%37.56%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.512.502.6044.84%39.78%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Buffalo Bills (Local): 62.33%; Baltimore Ravens (Visitante): 37.67%. Para Baltimore Ravens (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, con un valor esperado de -2.06%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.14%E -1.36%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 04:55
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-26 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:39
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:39
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:39
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 03:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 03:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 07:44
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-26 04:15
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 10:05
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 07:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 07:43
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.58%E -2.65%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 01:05
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.81%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 03:24
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 01:11
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 01:11
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 03:25
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 09:25
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.07%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 07:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.07%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 07:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 21:36
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 03:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 03:25
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 03:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 02:09
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:14
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 07:44
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.58%E -2.65%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 07:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 02:09
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.88%E -3.89%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 08:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:55
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 06:30
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 07:45
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 07:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.57%EV -16.00%E -7.17%K -13.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-21 21:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-10-26 10:16
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-10-26 09:49
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-10-26 05:35
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-10-26 07:20
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%8.0%2026-10-26 07:45