Atlanta Falcons v Chicago Bears

2026-10-18 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Odds

2.4041.67%Min

2.4540.82%Mean

2.4540.82%Median

2.5040.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

38.42%2.603Min

40.00%2.500Max

39.21%2.550Mean

39.21%2.550Median

39.21%2.550IQM

39.21%2.551Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.50 under the IQM model: 39.21%

EV -1.97%Edge -0.788%Kelly -1.31%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chicago Bears (Visit)

Odds

1.5664.10%Min

1.5863.29%Mean

1.5863.29%Median

1.6062.50%Max

Consensus probabilities

60.00%1.667Min

61.58%1.624Max

60.79%1.645Mean

60.79%1.645Median

60.79%1.645IQM

60.79%1.645Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.60 under the IQM model: 60.79%

EV -2.74%Edge -1.71%Kelly -4.56%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Atlanta Falcons (Local) ▼	Chicago Bears (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Caesars	2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -1.97% E -0.788% K -1.31% G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -5.17% E -3.31% K -9.23% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-15 22:38
DraftKings	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -5.89% E -2.45% K -4.21% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -2.74% E -1.71% K -4.56% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-15 01:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth