Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Falcons v Chicago Bears

Início: 2026-10-18 17:02 UTC

Final: Atlanta Falcons 23–31 Chicago Bears

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Previsão 48.56%2.06odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -0.941%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.60%48.41%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.791.961.972.0255.87%50.99%50.76%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Bears (Visitante)

Previsão 51.44%1.94odd justa
EV -0.729%
Vantagem -0.378%
Kelly -0.784%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.40%51.59%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.851.851.9360.61%54.20%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 48.56%; Chicago Bears (Visitante): 51.44%. Para Chicago Bears (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.94. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.93, com valor esperado de -0.729%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.90%E -0.941%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.90%E -0.941%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.90%E -0.941%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.90%E -0.941%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-18 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -1.90%E -0.941%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-18 15:34
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -2.39%E -1.19%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-18 16:19
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.76%E -0.920%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-18 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.76%E -0.920%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-18 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 14:39
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 08:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 19:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 19:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.36%E -1.69%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.729%E -0.378%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-18 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.84%E -1.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 15:50
Caesars🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.84%E -1.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 00:14
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.84%E -1.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.84%E -1.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.84%E -1.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 06:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.84%E -1.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 14:20
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.84%E -1.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.36%E -2.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:35
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:39
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 06:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 16:40
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 16:44
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 15:49
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 15:04
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 15:04
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 06:35
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 15:28
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 15:28
picklebet_au🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.76%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 06:30
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.76%E -0.920%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 14:24
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 16:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 16:14
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 16:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 16:33
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.16%E -5.49%K -11.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 47.97%EV -13.07%E -7.30%K -16.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.03%EV -15.13%E -9.17%K -23.28%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-18 14:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-10-18 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-10-18 16:59
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-10-18 16:50
ProphetX◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-10-18 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-10-18 16:59
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-10-18 04:10
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-10-18 14:30
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-10-18 16:59
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-10-18 16:59
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-10-18 15:34