The School of Odds

Atlanta Falcons v Carolina Panthers

2026-09-20 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 53.26%1.88fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.26%53.25%53.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.8057%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 46.74%2.14fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.70%46.74%46.75%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.012.002.0551%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:55
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 17:04
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 20:32
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 01:00
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.