Atlanta Falcons v Carolina Panthers

2026-09-20 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Odds

1.7756.50%Min

1.7955.87%Mean

1.7856.18%Median

1.8354.64%Max

Consensus probabilities

52.22%1.915Min

53.30%1.876Max

52.77%1.895Mean

52.79%1.894Median

52.77%1.895IQM

52.73%1.897Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 52.77%

EV -3.44%Edge -1.88%Kelly -4.14%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Odds

1.9950.25%Min

2.0050.00%Mean

2.0050.13%Median

2.0249.50%Max

Consensus probabilities

46.70%2.141Min

47.78%2.093Max

47.23%2.117Mean

47.21%2.118Median

47.23%2.117IQM

47.27%2.115Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.02 under the IQM model: 47.23%

EV -4.59%Edge -2.27%Kelly -4.50%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Atlanta Falcons (Local) ▼	Carolina Panthers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -3.44% E -1.88% K -4.14% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -5.54% E -2.77% K -5.54% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-03 05:05
Bet Right	1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -3.96% E -2.18% K -4.83% G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -4.59% E -2.27% K -4.50% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-26 02:11
Betsson	1.78I 56.18% NM 52.79%EV -6.07% E -3.41% K -7.79% G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25% NM 47.21%EV -6.01% E -3.02% K -6.07% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-03 05:05
NordicBet	1.78I 56.18% NM 52.79%EV -6.07% E -3.41% K -7.79% G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25% NM 47.21%EV -6.01% E -3.02% K -6.07% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-03 05:04
Caesars	1.77I 56.50% NM 53.30%EV -6.60% E -3.73% K -8.57% G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.70%EV -4.59% E -2.27% K -4.50% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-16 20:32

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth