Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Falcons v Carolina Panthers

Início: 2026-09-20 17:02 UTC

Final: Atlanta Falcons 3–34 Carolina Panthers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Previsão 44.26%2.26odd justa
EV -0.411%
Vantagem -0.183%
Kelly -0.329%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.60%44.43%44.24%47.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.992.162.152.2550.25%46.31%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Carolina Panthers (Visitante)

Previsão 55.74%1.79odd justa
EV +0.329%
Vantagem +0.183%
Kelly +0.411%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.51%55.57%55.76%57.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.511.711.701.8066.23%58.54%58.82%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 44.26%; Carolina Panthers (Visitante): 55.74%. Para Carolina Panthers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.79. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.329%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -11.92%E -5.99%K -12.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +0.329%E +0.183%K +0.411%G +0.001%5.8%2026-09-20 16:59
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -0.228%E -0.128%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-20 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.38%E -4.05%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -0.228%E -0.128%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 16:59
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.786%E -0.441%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-20 16:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.34%E -0.759%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.28%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 16:59
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:19
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 15:59
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:54
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.02%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:53
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.02%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:19
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.13%E -2.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.13%E -2.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.411%E -0.183%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.411%E -0.183%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.411%E -0.183%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.411%E -0.183%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 16:34
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:18
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:44
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:59
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 16:30
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 14:44
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.69%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.30%E -0.581%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:44
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:44
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:24
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.411%E -0.183%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 16:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.72%E -2.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 16:49
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.36%E -3.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:35
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.36%E -3.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:34
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.36%E -3.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.36%E -3.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:34
SportsBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.07%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.36%E -3.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 16:29
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.411%E -0.183%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 15:23
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.411%E -0.183%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 15:23
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:59
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.92%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.03%E -4.87%K -12.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 16:47
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 56.98%EV -15.84%E -10.49%K -31.05%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-20 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-20 16:59
ProphetX◎2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%0.5%2026-09-20 16:59
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-20 16:59
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-20 16:49
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-20 16:49
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%5.4%2026-09-20 16:55
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%9.3%2026-09-20 16:44