Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Michigan Broncos v Monmouth Hawks

2026-09-12 22:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Michigan Broncos (Local)

Prediction 92.18%1.08fair odd

EV -5.98%

Edge -5.86%

Kelly -298.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.74%92.18%92.17%93.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.021.021.0298.04%98.04%98.04%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monmouth Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 7.82%12.79fair odd

EV +17.29%

Edge +1.15%

Kelly +1.23%

Growth +0.213%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.37%7.82%7.83%9.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0011.4411.0015.0010.00%8.74%9.09%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Western Michigan Broncos (Local): 92.18%; Monmouth Hawks (Visit): 7.82%. For Monmouth Hawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.79. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 15.00, producing a positive expected value of +17.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.98%E -5.86%K -298.77%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.29%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.213%	4.7%	2026-09-07 04:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.98%E -5.86%K -298.77%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -2.26%E -0.181%K -0.197%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 06:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.98%E -5.86%K -298.77%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.17%E -0.514%K -0.561%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 05:09
SportsBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.98%E -5.86%K -298.77%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -13.99%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-07 04:55
ReBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.98%E -5.86%K -298.77%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -13.99%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-07 05:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.98%E -5.86%K -298.77%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -21.81%E -2.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-07 05:09
betano_uk🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.98%E -5.86%K -298.77%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -21.81%E -2.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-07 05:08
Bet Victor🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.98%E -5.86%K -298.77%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -21.81%E -2.18%K -2.42%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-07 05:08

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%	1.2%	2026-09-07 06:05
Novig◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.76%	13.33I 7.50%NM 7.24%	3.7%	2026-09-07 06:09