默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Western Michigan Broncos v Monmouth Hawks

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 22:35 UTC

最终结果: Western Michigan Broncos 49–14 Monmouth Hawks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Western Michigan Broncos (主队)

预测 94.60%1.06公平赔率
EV -3.51%
优势 -3.44%
Kelly -175.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.02

博彩公司预测分布
92.24%94.56%94.06%97.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.011.011.02100.00%98.89%99.01%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Monmouth Hawks (客队)

预测 5.40%18.53公平赔率
EV +83.50%
优势 +2.46%
Kelly +2.53%
增长率 +2.11%

假设最高赔率为 34.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.86%5.44%5.94%7.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.0018.5517.0034.008.33%5.39%5.88%2.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Western Michigan Broncos (主队):94.60%;Monmouth Hawks (客队):5.40%。 对于“Monmouth Hawks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为18.53。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为34.00,对应+83.50%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.40%E -5.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +83.50%E +2.46%K +2.53%G +2.11%2.9%2026-09-12 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +56.52%E +1.95%K +2.02%G +1.14%2.5%2026-09-12 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +40.32%E +1.55%K +1.61%G +0.650%2.9%2026-09-12 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.51%E -3.44%K -175.25%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +24.13%E +1.05%K +1.10%G +0.265%2.4%2026-09-12 15:49
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +24.13%E +1.05%K +1.10%G +0.265%3.4%2026-09-12 17:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +24.13%E +1.05%K +1.10%G +0.265%3.4%2026-09-12 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.51%E -3.44%K -175.25%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +13.34%E +0.635%K +0.667%G +0.089%2.8%2026-09-12 16:01
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.51%E -3.44%K -175.25%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +2.54%E +0.134%K +0.141%G +0.004%3.3%2026-09-12 16:00
GTbets🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +2.54%E +0.134%K +0.141%G +0.004%4.3%2026-09-12 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.25%E -0.485%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.25%E -0.485%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.25%E -0.485%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.25%E -0.485%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.51%E -3.44%K -175.25%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -13.65%E -0.853%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.65%E -0.853%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.65%E -0.853%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.65%E -0.853%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:19
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.65%E -0.853%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 21:06
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.65%E -0.853%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -23.09%E -1.62%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.84%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:05
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.84%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -35.24%E -2.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 22:18
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.45%E -4.41%K -445.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -35.24%E -2.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 22:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-09-12 22:05
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27%26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73%1.8%2026-09-12 22:15
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%2.0%2026-09-12 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%2.8%2026-09-12 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%2.8%2026-09-12 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%3.6%2026-09-12 22:25