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UConn Huskies v Maryland Terrapins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UConn Huskies (Local)
Prediction 21.20%4.72fair odd
EV +8.11%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.160%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.53%21.05%21.19%22.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.594.505.1023.81%21.80%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maryland Terrapins (Visit)
Prediction 78.80%1.27fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -17.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.49%78.95%78.81%81.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.211.2286.21%83.08%82.64%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 21.20%; Maryland Terrapins (Visit): 78.80%. For UConn Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -8.59%E -7.41%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -8.59%E -7.41%K -53.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -3.12%E -0.684%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.55%E -0.780%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 19:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -9.48%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.16% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.84% | 0.2% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.08I 19.69%NM 19.62% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.38% | 0.3% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 16:48 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |