Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

UConn Huskies v Maryland Terrapins

Início: 2026-09-12 19:30 UTC

Final: UConn Huskies 14–38 Maryland Terrapins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

UConn Huskies (Local)

Previsão 21.20%4.72odd justa
EV +8.11%
Vantagem +1.59%
Kelly +1.98%
Crescimento +0.160%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.53%21.05%21.19%22.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.594.505.1023.81%21.80%22.22%19.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Maryland Terrapins (Visitante)

Previsão 78.80%1.27odd justa
EV -3.86%
Vantagem -3.17%
Kelly -17.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.49%78.95%78.81%81.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.161.201.211.2286.21%83.08%82.64%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: UConn Huskies (Local): 21.20%; Maryland Terrapins (Visitante): 78.80%. Para UConn Huskies (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.72. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:35
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:34
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:35
Bally Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:35
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -8.59%E -7.41%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +8.11%E +1.59%K +1.98%G +0.160%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -8.59%E -7.41%K -53.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 15:35
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:20
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 15:00
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:19
MyBookie.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.49%E -0.541%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -3.12%E -0.684%K -0.875%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 15:15
BetUS🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.55%E -0.780%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
GTbets🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 15:00
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:19
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:18
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:24
Fliff🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.61%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:20
BetAnything🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 19:25
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:35
Betsson🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -9.48%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 18:30
Dabble (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:35
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 14:20
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 14:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎4.95I 20.20%NM 20.16%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.84%0.2%2026-09-12 18:10
BetOpenly◎5.08I 19.69%NM 19.62%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.38%0.3%2026-09-12 19:25
Novig◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-12 16:48
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-12 18:50
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-12 17:31
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-09-12 17:15