Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns v UTSA Roadrunners

2026-09-20 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

95%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 95.18%1.05fair odd

EV -2.91%

Edge -2.86%

Kelly -145.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.59%95.18%95.37%96.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.01%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 4.82%20.76fair odd

EV +20.44%

Edge +0.818%

Kelly +0.852%

Growth +0.174%

assuming max odds 25.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.88%4.82%4.63%8.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

11.0018.0017.0025.009.09%5.56%5.88%4.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas Longhorns (Local): 95.18%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 4.82%. For UTSA Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.76. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 25.00, producing a positive expected value of +20.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.87%E -3.83%K -386.58%G +0.000%	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +20.44%E +0.818%K +0.852%G +0.174%	3.0%	2026-09-13 07:55
DraftKings🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.91%E -2.86%K -145.70%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +1.17%E +0.056%K +0.059%G +0.001%	2.8%	2026-09-13 04:00
SportsBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -4.82%E -4.82%K +0.000%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -18.10%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-13 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.87%E -3.83%K -386.58%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -22.92%E -1.43%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 07:55
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.87%E -3.83%K -386.58%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -47.01%E -4.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-13 07:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 97.06%	33.33I 3.00%NM 2.94%	2.0%	2026-09-13 06:35
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.06%	24.39I 4.10%NM 3.94%	4.1%	2026-09-13 07:20