The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Longhorns v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 00:02 UTC

Final: Texas Longhorns 30–6 UTSA Roadrunners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 95.09%1.05fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -150.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.46%94.94%94.95%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.011.011.0299.01%98.59%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 4.91%20.37fair odd
EV +27.62%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.305%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.74%5.06%5.05%7.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.5018.1817.0026.008.00%5.50%5.88%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 95.09%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 4.91%. For UTSA Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.37. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.62%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.305%2.9%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%2.4%2026-09-16 18:03
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%2.4%2026-09-19 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%3.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%3.4%2026-09-19 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%3.4%2026-09-19 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.74%E -0.355%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -6.74%E -0.355%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 20:59
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -6.74%E -0.355%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -16.56%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 07:25
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.56%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.56%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:34
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -19.01%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 10:25
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -21.46%E -1.34%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -26.37%E -1.76%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -26.37%E -1.76%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.37%E -1.76%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -28.83%E -1.99%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -30.05%E -2.11%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 10:30
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -31.28%E -2.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -38.64%E -3.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.02I 98.04%NM 98.08%52.00I 1.92%NM 1.92%-0.0%2026-09-19 22:39
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-09-19 21:25
ProphetX◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%1.9%2026-09-19 23:39
Matchbook◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%2.0%2026-09-19 23:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-09-19 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-09-19 23:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-19 23:55