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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Texas Longhorns v UTSA Roadrunners

开赛时间： 2026-09-20 00:02 UTC

最终结果： Texas Longhorns 30–6 UTSA Roadrunners

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Texas Longhorns (主队)

预测 95.09%1.05公平赔率
EV -3.01%
优势 -2.95%
Kelly -150.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.02

博彩公司预测分布
92.46%94.94%94.95%96.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.011.011.0299.01%98.59%99.01%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

UTSA Roadrunners (客队)

预测 4.91%20.37公平赔率
EV +27.62%
优势 +1.06%
Kelly +1.10%
增长率 +0.305%

假设最高赔率为 26.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.74%5.06%5.05%7.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.5018.1817.0026.008.00%5.50%5.88%3.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Texas Longhorns (主队)：95.09%；UTSA Roadrunners (客队)：4.91%。 对于“UTSA Roadrunners (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为20.37。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为26.00，对应+27.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.62%E +1.06%K +1.10%G +0.305%2.9%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%2.4%2026-09-16 18:03
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%2.4%2026-09-19 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%3.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%3.4%2026-09-19 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +12.90%E +0.561%K +0.586%G +0.076%3.4%2026-09-19 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.74%E -0.355%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -6.74%E -0.355%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 20:59
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -6.74%E -0.355%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -16.56%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 07:25
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.56%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.56%E -0.974%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 23:34
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -19.01%E -1.15%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 10:25
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -21.46%E -1.34%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -26.37%E -1.76%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -26.37%E -1.76%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.37%E -1.76%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -28.83%E -1.99%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 15:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.96%E -3.92%K -395.76%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -30.05%E -2.11%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 10:30
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -31.28%E -2.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.01%E -2.95%K -150.33%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -38.64%E -3.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 21:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.02I 98.04%NM 98.08%52.00I 1.92%NM 1.92%-0.0%2026-09-19 22:39
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-09-19 21:25
ProphetX◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%1.9%2026-09-19 23:39
Matchbook◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%2.0%2026-09-19 23:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-09-19 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-09-19 23:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-19 23:55