Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 19:40 UTC

Final: Texas A&M Aggies 21–31 Kentucky Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M Aggies (Local)

Prediction 85.86%1.16fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -15.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.98%85.79%88.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.25%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 14.14%7.07fair odd
EV +20.22%
Edge +2.38%
Kelly +2.70%
Growth +0.545%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.18%14.02%14.21%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.666.708.5018.18%15.02%14.93%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas A&M Aggies (Local): 85.86%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 14.14%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.07. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.13%E -7.60%K -116.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +20.22%E +2.38%K +2.70%G +0.545%5.2%2026-09-19 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +10.32%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.157%4.6%2026-09-19 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +6.08%E +0.810%K +0.935%G +0.057%3.4%2026-09-19 19:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.98%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.02%EV +3.95%E +0.538%K +0.623%G +0.025%4.5%2026-09-19 19:04
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.997%E -0.142%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:56
Everygame🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.997%E -0.142%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 18:59
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -1.70%E -0.245%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -2.98%E -0.434%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -2.98%E -0.434%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:51
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -3.40%E -0.498%K -0.583%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:29
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.89%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 14.11%EV -3.54%E -0.519%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 19:30
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -3.83%E -0.563%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:00
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 19:04
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 12:50
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 12:49
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 12:49
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 19:34
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -5.24%E -0.782%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -5.24%E -0.782%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -5.24%E -0.782%K -0.919%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 19:29
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 12:50
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 12:50
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:34
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:24
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.41%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.59%EV -8.92%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.12%E -1.86%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.98%E -2.64%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 21:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:14
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:29
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 02:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.68%E -3.25%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:30
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -22.21%E -4.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 19:22
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-19 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-19 19:15
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-19 19:15
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.20%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.80%1.5%2026-09-19 19:34