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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Texas A&M Aggies v Kentucky Wildcats

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 19:40 UTC

最终结果： Texas A&M Aggies 21–31 Kentucky Wildcats

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Texas A&M Aggies (主队)

预测 85.86%1.16公平赔率
EV -2.12%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -15.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.14

博彩公司预测分布
83.08%85.98%85.79%88.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.25%90.09%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kentucky Wildcats (客队)

预测 14.14%7.07公平赔率
EV +20.22%
优势 +2.38%
Kelly +2.70%
增长率 +0.545%

假设最高赔率为 8.50

博彩公司预测分布
11.18%14.02%14.21%16.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.666.708.5018.18%15.02%14.93%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Texas A&M Aggies (主队)：85.86%；Kentucky Wildcats (客队)：14.14%。 对于“Kentucky Wildcats (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.07。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.50，对应+20.22%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.13%E -7.60%K -116.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +20.22%E +2.38%K +2.70%G +0.545%5.2%2026-09-19 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +10.32%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.157%4.6%2026-09-19 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +6.08%E +0.810%K +0.935%G +0.057%3.4%2026-09-19 19:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.98%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.02%EV +3.95%E +0.538%K +0.623%G +0.025%4.5%2026-09-19 19:04
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.997%E -0.142%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:56
Everygame🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.997%E -0.142%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 18:59
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -1.70%E -0.245%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -2.98%E -0.434%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -2.98%E -0.434%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:51
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -3.40%E -0.498%K -0.583%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:29
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.89%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 14.11%EV -3.54%E -0.519%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 19:30
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -3.83%E -0.563%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:00
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 19:04
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 12:50
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 12:49
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 12:49
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.788%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 19:34
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -5.24%E -0.782%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -5.24%E -0.782%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -5.24%E -0.782%K -0.919%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 19:29
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 12:50
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.23%K -42.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 12:50
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:34
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.42%E -5.89%K -71.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.07%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 19:24
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.41%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.59%EV -8.92%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.56%E -5.05%K -55.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.12%E -1.86%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.98%E -2.64%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 21:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:14
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 19:29
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 02:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.68%E -3.25%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 19:30
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.84%E -3.43%K -32.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -22.21%E -4.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 19:22
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-19 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-19 19:15
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-19 19:15
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.20%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.80%1.5%2026-09-19 19:34