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Pittsburgh Panthers v UCF Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Panthers (Local)
Prediction 70.73%1.41fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +5.67%
Growth +0.145%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%70.69%70.97%72.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.351.4578.13%74.26%74.07%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UCF Knights (Visit)
Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.703%
Kelly +0.984%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.35%29.31%29.03%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.243.303.5037.74%30.89%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Panthers (Local): 70.73%; UCF Knights (Visit): 29.27%. For Pittsburgh Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV +2.55%E +1.76%K +5.67%G +0.145% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -22.42%E -8.46%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 20:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.74%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.74%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.32%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -4.52%E -3.35%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -1.05%E -0.312%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.52%E -3.35%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.52%E -3.35%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 20:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.23%E -3.90%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.468%E -0.138%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.23%E -3.90%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.468%E -0.138%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 20:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.23%E -3.90%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.23%E -3.90%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.46%E +0.703%K +0.984%G +0.024% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 20:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.35%E -5.61%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.32%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 20:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.06%E -6.20%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -9.47%E -7.40%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -0.468%E -0.138%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 19:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 73.99% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01% | 16.5% | 2026-09-12 20:05 |