默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Panthers v UCF Knights

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 20:35 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Panthers 12–7 UCF Knights

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Panthers (主队)

预测 70.73%1.41公平赔率
EV +2.55%
优势 +1.76%
Kelly +5.67%
增长率 +0.145%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
64.63%70.69%70.97%72.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.351.351.4578.13%74.26%74.07%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

UCF Knights (客队)

预测 29.27%3.42公平赔率
EV +2.46%
优势 +0.703%
Kelly +0.984%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.35%29.31%29.03%35.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.653.243.303.5037.74%30.89%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Panthers (主队):70.73%;UCF Knights (客队):29.27%。 对于“Pittsburgh Panthers (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.41。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.45,对应+2.55%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV +2.55%E +1.76%K +5.67%G +0.145%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -22.42%E -8.46%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:34
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.74%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -5.74%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:50
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.11%E -2.27%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:50
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:50
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:18
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.32%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 19:50
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.81%E -2.80%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -4.52%E -3.35%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -1.05%E -0.312%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.52%E -3.35%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.52%E -3.35%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 20:34
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.23%E -3.90%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.468%E -0.138%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.23%E -3.90%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.468%E -0.138%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 20:30
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.23%E -3.90%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.23%E -3.90%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.46%E +0.703%K +0.984%G +0.024%4.3%2026-09-12 19:30
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:40
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.93%E -0.577%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.64%E -5.03%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 20:35
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.35%E -5.61%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.32%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.06%E -6.20%K -26.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -9.47%E -7.40%K -33.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -0.468%E -0.138%K -0.195%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 19:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-12 20:20
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-09-12 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%11.8%2026-09-12 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%11.8%2026-09-12 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%11.8%2026-09-12 20:05
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 73.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%16.5%2026-09-12 20:05