The School of Odds

Oregon Ducks v Boise State Broncos

2026-09-05 19:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Option 1: Oregon Ducks (Local)

1.0199.01%Min
1.0298.11%Mean
1.0298.04%Median
1.0397.09%Max
90.39%1.106Min
93.95%1.064Max
93.32%1.072Mean
93.53%1.069Median
93.37%1.071IQM
93.40%1.071Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.03 under the IQM model: 93.37%

EV -3.83%Edge -3.72%Kelly -127.59%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Boise State Broncos (Visit)

9.5010.53%Min
14.007.14%Mean
14.726.79%Median
16.006.25%Max
6.05%16.534Min
9.61%10.406Max
6.68%14.960Mean
6.47%15.457Median
6.63%15.086IQM
6.60%15.152Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 16.00 under the IQM model: 6.63%

EV +6.06%Edge +0.379%Kelly +0.404%Growth +0.024%

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerOregon Ducks (Local)Boise State Broncos (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.03I 97.09% NM 93.95%EV -3.83% E -3.72% K -127.59% G +0.000%16.00I 6.25% NM 6.05%EV +6.06% E +0.379% K +0.404% G +0.024%3.3%2026-06-20 20:29
FanDuel1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.567% E -0.038% K -0.041% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 02:50
SportsBet1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.567% E -0.038% K -0.041% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 02:49
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.567% E -0.038% K -0.041% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.567% E -0.038% K -0.041% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 18:30
Caesars1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -0.567% E -0.038% K -0.041% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:28
GTbets1.03I 97.09% NM 93.55%EV -3.83% E -3.72% K -127.59% G +0.000%14.95I 6.69% NM 6.45%EV -0.899% E -0.060% K -0.064% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 11:15
Coolbet1.02I 98.04% NM 93.43%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%14.50I 6.90% NM 6.57%EV -3.88% E -0.268% K -0.288% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 09:54
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04% NM 93.21%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.79%EV -7.20% E -0.514% K -0.554% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 04:20
Bovada1.01I 99.01% NM 93.27%EV -5.70% E -5.64% K -569.51% G +0.000%14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV -7.20% E -0.514% K -0.554% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 20:28
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01% NM 92.79%EV -5.70% E -5.64% K -569.51% G +0.000%13.00I 7.69% NM 7.21%EV -13.83% E -1.06% K -1.15% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:29
NordicBet1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -17.14% E -1.37% K -1.49% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 14:10
Betsson1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -17.14% E -1.37% K -1.49% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -17.14% E -1.37% K -1.49% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 04:19
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04% NM 92.46%EV -4.76% E -4.67% K -238.07% G +0.000%12.50I 8.00% NM 7.54%EV -17.14% E -1.37% K -1.49% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 21:04
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01% NM 90.39%EV -5.70% E -5.64% K -569.51% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.61%EV -37.03% E -3.90% K -4.36% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth