The School of Odds

Oregon Ducks v Boise State Broncos

2026-09-05 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 93.49%1.07fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -3.60%
Kelly -123.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.30%93.54%93.63%94.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0399.01%98.04%98.04%97.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Boise State Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 6.51%15.35fair odd
EV +23.74%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.313%

assuming max odds 19.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.09%6.46%6.37%9.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
9.5014.2915.0019.0010.53%7.00%6.67%5.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +23.74%E +1.25%K +1.32%G +0.313%3.3%2026-07-14 20:04
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.71%E -3.60%K -123.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +4.20%E +0.263%K +0.280%G +0.012%3.3%2026-07-20 20:40
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.97%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%15.90I 6.29%NM 6.03%EV +3.55%E +0.223%K +0.238%G +0.008%4.3%2026-07-20 20:40
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.31%E -0.154%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 02:50
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.31%E -0.154%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 02:49
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.31%E -0.154%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.31%E -0.154%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 14:35
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -2.31%E -0.154%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 20:28
Coolbet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -5.57%E -0.384%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 09:54
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.82%E -0.630%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 04:20
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.58%E -5.52%K -557.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.33%E -1.18%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 11:29
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -18.59%E -1.49%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 04:19
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -18.59%E -1.49%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 21:04
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -18.59%E -1.49%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 15:40
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -232.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -38.13%E -4.01%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-15 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.