Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Boise State Broncos

2026-09-05 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 93.02%1.08fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -81.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.19%92.82%93.07%93.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0498.04%97.20%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boise State Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 6.98%14.32fair odd
EV +11.71%
Edge +0.732%
Kelly +0.780%
Growth +0.091%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.05%7.18%6.93%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5013.0613.0016.0011.76%7.66%7.69%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oregon Ducks (Local): 93.02%; Boise State Broncos (Visit): 6.98%. For Boise State Broncos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.32. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 16.00, producing a positive expected value of +11.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +11.71%E +0.732%K +0.780%G +0.091%3.3%2026-07-20 20:40
GTbets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.73%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%15.40I 6.49%NM 6.27%EV +7.52%E +0.488%K +0.522%G +0.039%3.6%2026-08-16 11:49
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.26%E -3.14%K -81.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +4.72%E +0.315%K +0.337%G +0.016%2.8%2026-08-16 05:34
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +4.72%E +0.315%K +0.337%G +0.016%3.8%2026-08-04 02:19
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.12%E -5.02%K -256.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +4.72%E +0.315%K +0.337%G +0.016%4.7%2026-08-12 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.12%E -5.02%K -256.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +4.72%E +0.315%K +0.337%G +0.016%4.7%2026-08-12 15:24
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.12%E -5.02%K -256.06%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +1.23%E +0.085%K +0.091%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-15 17:43
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -2.26%E -0.161%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 12:29
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.12%E -5.02%K -256.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.26%E -0.161%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.12%E -5.02%K -256.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -2.26%E -0.161%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.94%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%13.56I 7.37%NM 7.06%EV -5.33%E -0.393%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.94%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%13.56I 7.37%NM 7.06%EV -5.33%E -0.393%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.24%E -0.711%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:52
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.24%E -0.711%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.24%E -0.711%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.24%E -0.711%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:25
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -9.24%E -0.711%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.36%EV -3.26%E -3.14%K -81.52%G +0.000%12.57I 7.96%NM 7.64%EV -12.24%E -0.974%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.12%E -5.02%K -256.06%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -12.73%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.26%E -3.14%K -81.52%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -16.22%E -1.35%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 10:45
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -16.22%E -1.35%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.12%E -5.02%K -256.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -23.20%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.14%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.86%EV -26.00%E -2.45%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -3.26%E -3.14%K -81.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -26.69%E -2.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 10:44
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.58%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -30.88%E -3.12%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:34
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -4.19%E -4.07%K -139.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -40.66%E -4.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.89%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.11%5.5%2026-08-14 18:45

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