默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Oregon Ducks v Boise State Broncos

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 19:15 UTC

最终结果: Oregon Ducks 34–27 Boise State Broncos

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Oregon Ducks (主队)

预测 92.95%1.08公平赔率
EV -3.33%
优势 -3.20%
Kelly -83.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.04

博彩公司预测分布
90.30%92.93%92.94%94.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.031.031.0499.01%97.48%97.09%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boise State Broncos (客队)

预测 7.05%14.18公平赔率
EV +33.96%
优势 +1.79%
Kelly +1.89%
增长率 +0.641%

假设最高赔率为 19.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.09%7.07%7.06%9.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5013.5813.0019.0010.53%7.36%7.69%5.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Oregon Ducks (主队):92.95%;Boise State Broncos (客队):7.05%。 对于“Boise State Broncos (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为14.18。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为19.00,对应+33.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +33.96%E +1.79%K +1.89%G +0.641%3.3%2026-08-28 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.86%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.247%4.9%2026-08-24 19:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.86%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.247%4.9%2026-08-24 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.86%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.247%4.9%2026-08-24 19:39
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +19.86%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.247%4.9%2026-08-24 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +12.81%E +0.801%K +0.854%G +0.109%4.3%2026-09-02 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +12.81%E +0.801%K +0.854%G +0.109%5.3%2026-08-24 19:39
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +12.81%E +0.801%K +0.854%G +0.109%5.3%2026-08-27 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +12.81%E +0.801%K +0.854%G +0.109%5.3%2026-08-24 19:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +12.81%E +0.801%K +0.854%G +0.109%5.3%2026-08-24 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.76%E +0.384%K +0.411%G +0.024%2.8%2026-09-02 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.76%E +0.384%K +0.411%G +0.024%2.8%2026-09-03 16:40
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.76%E +0.384%K +0.411%G +0.024%3.8%2026-08-04 02:19
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.59%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%14.90I 6.71%NM 6.41%EV +5.06%E +0.339%K +0.364%G +0.018%4.8%2026-09-04 02:15
BetUS🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -1.29%E -0.092%K -0.099%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.12%E -6.06%K -612.12%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.29%E -0.092%K -0.099%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.97%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 7.03%EV -3.05%E -0.222%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 17:35
GTbets🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.92%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%13.65I 7.33%NM 7.08%EV -3.76%E -0.275%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.94%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%13.56I 7.37%NM 7.06%EV -4.39%E -0.324%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.94%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%13.56I 7.37%NM 7.06%EV -4.39%E -0.324%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 12:39
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:24
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 02:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 20:55
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -8.34%E -0.642%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -11.87%E -0.949%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.87%E -0.949%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 14:10
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.87%E -0.949%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -15.39%E -1.28%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -15.39%E -1.28%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 10:45
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.39%E -1.28%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 12:18
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.39%E -1.28%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 14:15
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -15.39%E -1.28%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 12:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -17.15%E -1.46%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 19:39
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -17.15%E -1.46%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -20.68%E -1.84%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.33%E -3.20%K -83.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -22.44%E -2.04%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:45
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.26%E -4.14%K -142.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -29.49%E -2.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 19:34
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -33.02%E -3.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.19%E -5.09%K -259.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -33.02%E -3.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 01:23
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-09-03 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-09-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-09-03 18:10
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-09-03 16:37
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%1.5%2026-09-03 23:35