The School of Odds

Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Wisconsin Badgers

2026-09-06 23:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Option 1: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

1.0496.15%Min
1.0595.17%Mean
1.0595.24%Median
1.0694.34%Max
87.86%1.138Min
91.95%1.087Max
90.67%1.103Mean
90.91%1.100Median
90.65%1.103IQM
90.80%1.101Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.06 under the IQM model: 90.65%

EV -3.91%Edge -3.69%Kelly -65.19%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Wisconsin Badgers (Visit)

7.6013.16%Min
10.039.97%Mean
10.509.52%Median
12.008.33%Max
8.05%12.429Min
12.14%8.238Max
9.33%10.717Mean
9.09%11.000Median
9.35%10.695IQM
9.20%10.875Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 12.00 under the IQM model: 9.35%

EV +12.20%Edge +1.02%Kelly +1.11%Growth +0.135%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNotre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)Wisconsin Badgers (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.05I 95.24% NM 91.95%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 8.05%EV +12.20% E +1.02% K +1.11% G +0.135%3.6%2026-06-16 16:20
Fanatics1.05I 95.24% NM 91.95%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 8.05%EV +12.20% E +1.02% K +1.11% G +0.135%3.6%2026-05-12 22:14
GTbets1.05I 95.24% NM 91.67%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%11.55I 8.66% NM 8.33%EV +8.00% E +0.692% K +0.758% G +0.061%3.9%2026-06-16 16:20
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24% NM 91.29%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.71%EV +2.85% E +0.259% K +0.285% G +0.008%4.3%2026-05-05 21:50
betPARX1.05I 95.24% NM 91.29%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.71%EV +2.85% E +0.259% K +0.285% G +0.008%4.3%2026-05-05 21:50
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24% NM 91.29%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.71%EV +2.85% E +0.259% K +0.285% G +0.008%4.3%2026-05-05 21:50
Bally Bet1.05I 95.24% NM 91.29%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.71%EV +2.85% E +0.259% K +0.285% G +0.008%4.3%2026-05-05 21:54
SportsBet1.04I 96.15% NM 91.36%EV -5.72% E -5.50% K -143.11% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.64%EV +2.85% E +0.259% K +0.285% G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-17 19:00
Bovada1.04I 96.15% NM 91.36%EV -5.72% E -5.50% K -143.11% G +0.000%11.00I 9.09% NM 8.64%EV +2.85% E +0.259% K +0.285% G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-16 16:20
FanDuel1.05I 95.24% NM 91.14%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%10.80I 9.26% NM 8.86%EV +0.983% E +0.091% K +0.100% G +0.001%4.5%2026-06-17 19:00
Caesars1.05I 95.24% NM 90.91%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 9.09%EV -1.82% E -0.174% K -0.192% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 12:37
Coolbet1.05I 95.24% NM 90.91%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 9.09%EV -1.82% E -0.174% K -0.192% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 02:10
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24% NM 90.50%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.50%EV -6.50% E -0.650% K -0.722% G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:50
BetRivers1.05I 95.24% NM 90.50%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.50%EV -6.50% E -0.650% K -0.722% G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24% NM 90.50%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.50%EV -6.50% E -0.650% K -0.722% G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:50
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -3.91% E -3.69% K -65.19% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -11.17% E -1.18% K -1.31% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 16:00
NordicBet1.05I 95.24% NM 90.05%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.95%EV -11.17% E -1.18% K -1.31% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:09
Betsson1.05I 95.24% NM 90.05%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.95%EV -11.17% E -1.18% K -1.31% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 18:09
Unibet1.05I 95.24% NM 90.05%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.95%EV -11.17% E -1.18% K -1.31% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.05I 95.24% NM 90.05%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.95%EV -11.17% E -1.18% K -1.31% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.05I 95.24% NM 89.76%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%9.20I 10.87% NM 10.24%EV -13.98% E -1.52% K -1.70% G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -3.91% E -3.69% K -65.19% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -15.85% E -1.76% K -1.98% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 19:00
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -3.91% E -3.69% K -65.19% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -15.85% E -1.76% K -1.98% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -3.91% E -3.69% K -65.19% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -15.85% E -1.76% K -1.98% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15% NM 89.64%EV -5.72% E -5.50% K -143.11% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.36%EV -15.85% E -1.76% K -1.98% G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 18:09
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24% NM 87.86%EV -4.82% E -4.59% K -96.36% G +0.000%7.60I 13.16% NM 12.14%EV -28.94% E -3.81% K -4.38% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-02 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth