The School of Odds

Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Wisconsin Badgers

2026-09-06 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Prediction 90.96%1.10fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -59.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.86%90.77%91.02%91.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.041.051.051.0696%95%95%94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Wisconsin Badgers (Visit)

Prediction 9.04%11.06fair odd
EV +8.50%
Edge +0.709%
Kelly +0.773%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.05%9.23%8.98%12.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
7.6010.2110.2512.0013%10%10%8%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.50%E +0.709%K +0.773%G +0.066%3.6%2026-07-20 22:24
GTbets1.05I 95.24%NM 91.67%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%11.55I 8.66%NM 8.33%EV +4.43%E +0.384%K +0.420%G +0.019%3.9%2026-07-20 22:24
Caesars1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.539%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 21:09
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.539%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:50
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.539%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:50
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.539%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:50
Bally Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.539%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:54
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.539%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 20:04
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.40%E -5.20%K -135.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.539%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 19:00
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.40%E -5.20%K -135.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.539%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:24
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -2.35%E -0.217%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 19:00
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -5.06%E -0.482%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 14:00
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.40%E -5.20%K -135.09%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.32%E -0.714%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.58%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:50
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.58%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.58%E -0.958%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%9.94I 10.06%NM 9.55%EV -10.12%E -1.02%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 10:23
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.58%E -3.38%K -59.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.10%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 16:00
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.10%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.10%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.58%E -3.38%K -59.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.62%E -2.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 11:00
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.58%E -3.38%K -59.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.62%E -2.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.58%E -3.38%K -59.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.62%E -2.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.40%E -5.20%K -135.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.62%E -2.07%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 14:05
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 87.86%EV -4.49%E -4.28%K -89.88%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.14%EV -31.28%E -4.12%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.