Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Wisconsin Badgers

Início: 2026-09-06 23:50 UTC

Final: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41–13 Wisconsin Badgers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Previsão 91.14%1.10odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -35.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.40%90.97%91.29%92.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.62%95.24%93.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wisconsin Badgers (Visitante)

Previsão 8.86%11.29odd justa
EV +12.91%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.142%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.34%9.03%8.71%11.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.0010.6110.5012.7512.50%9.42%9.52%7.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 91.14%; Wisconsin Badgers (Visitante): 8.86%. Para Wisconsin Badgers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 11.29. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 12.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.91%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.66%EV -7.94%E -7.87%K -794.39%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.34%EV +12.91%E +1.01%K +1.10%G +0.142%6.9%2026-09-06 23:29
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036%3.6%2026-09-06 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036%4.5%2026-09-06 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036%4.5%2026-09-06 23:40
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036%4.5%2026-09-06 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036%4.5%2026-09-06 23:40
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036%5.4%2026-09-06 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036%5.4%2026-09-06 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV +3.52%E +0.301%K +0.329%G +0.012%3.8%2026-09-06 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV +3.52%E +0.301%K +0.329%G +0.012%3.8%2026-09-06 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +1.84%E +0.160%K +0.175%G +0.003%3.0%2026-09-06 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +1.84%E +0.160%K +0.175%G +0.003%3.0%2026-09-06 23:33
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +1.84%E +0.160%K +0.175%G +0.003%5.8%2026-09-06 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.03%E -6.89%K -351.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +1.84%E +0.160%K +0.175%G +0.003%6.7%2026-09-06 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.03%E -6.89%K -351.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +1.84%E +0.160%K +0.175%G +0.003%6.7%2026-09-06 23:40
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.59%E -0.236%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 21:09
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.59%E -0.236%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.59%E -0.236%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.59%E -0.236%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 15:45
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.10%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%10.85I 9.22%NM 8.90%EV -3.92%E -0.361%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -7.02%E -0.668%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 23:45
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -7.02%E -0.668%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.02%E -0.668%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 23:39
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.02%E -0.668%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 23:40
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.95%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.03%G +0.000%10.35I 9.66%NM 9.05%EV -8.35%E -0.807%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 23:45
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.53%EV -2.48%E -2.31%K -35.36%G +0.000%10.23I 9.78%NM 9.47%EV -9.41%E -0.920%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 23:35
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 23:15
Everygame🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 13:07
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 22:15
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 23:14
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.45%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 23:15
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.87%E -1.67%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 21:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -15.87%E -1.67%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -18.09%E -1.96%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.30%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 23:30
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.30%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 23:40
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.30%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 04:55
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -29.16%E -3.64%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 23:33
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -29.16%E -3.64%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 23:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.52%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.48%0.2%2026-09-06 23:28
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.33%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.67%0.3%2026-09-06 23:29
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-09-06 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-09-06 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-09-06 23:40
ProphetX◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-09-06 23:45