Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines v Western Michigan Broncos

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 94.59%1.06fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -85.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.83%94.38%94.86%95.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.011.011.0399.01%98.55%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 5.41%18.47fair odd
EV +24.54%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.274%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.21%5.62%5.14%9.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0016.9618.5023.0010.00%5.90%5.41%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 94.59%; Western Michigan Broncos (Visit): 5.41%. For Western Michigan Broncos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.47. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 23.00, producing a positive expected value of +24.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +24.54%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.274%3.4%2026-08-02 22:29
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -176.16%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +13.71%E +0.653%K +0.686%G +0.094%2.8%2026-07-20 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +13.71%E +0.653%K +0.686%G +0.094%3.8%2026-06-04 02:20
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -176.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +2.88%E +0.152%K +0.160%G +0.005%3.3%2026-07-28 02:00
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -176.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +2.88%E +0.152%K +0.160%G +0.005%3.3%2026-08-04 17:39
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +2.88%E +0.152%K +0.160%G +0.005%4.3%2026-08-02 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +2.88%E +0.152%K +0.160%G +0.005%4.3%2026-08-02 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +2.88%E +0.152%K +0.160%G +0.005%4.3%2026-08-02 22:29
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +0.176%E +0.010%K +0.010%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 08:00
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -10.65%E -0.646%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.69%EV -2.58%E -2.50%K -85.91%G +0.000%15.30I 6.54%NM 6.31%EV -17.15%E -1.12%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -176.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -18.78%E -1.25%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -22.84%E -1.60%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -176.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -29.61%E -2.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-15 07:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.61%E -2.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -176.16%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -30.96%E -2.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 07:34
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.47%E -4.42%K -446.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -45.85%E -4.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.