The School of Odds

Michigan Wolverines v Western Michigan Broncos

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 94.62%1.06fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -3.42%
Kelly -174.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.39%94.46%94.82%95.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.02100.00%98.65%99.01%98.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 5.38%18.57fair odd
EV +13.07%
Edge +0.622%
Kelly +0.654%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 21.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.59%5.54%5.18%9.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
9.5015.9515.0021.0010.53%6.27%6.67%4.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.49%E -3.42%K -174.60%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +13.07%E +0.622%K +0.654%G +0.085%2.8%2026-07-20 20:55
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.44%E -4.39%K -443.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +13.07%E +0.622%K +0.654%G +0.085%3.8%2026-06-04 02:20
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.49%E -3.42%K -174.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +2.30%E +0.121%K +0.128%G +0.003%3.3%2026-07-28 02:00
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.44%E -4.39%K -443.82%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -0.389%E -0.021%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 19:38
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.44%E -4.39%K -443.82%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -11.16%E -0.676%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.49%E -3.42%K -174.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -19.23%E -1.28%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:34
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -5.38%E -5.38%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -19.23%E -1.28%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 18:34
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.44%E -4.39%K -443.82%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -23.27%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.49%E -3.42%K -174.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -30.00%E -2.31%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-15 07:34
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -3.49%E -3.42%K -174.60%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -31.35%E -2.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 07:34
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -4.44%E -4.39%K -443.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -48.85%E -5.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-16 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.