默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Michigan Wolverines v Western Michigan Broncos

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 23:40 UTC

最终结果: Michigan Wolverines 13–12 Western Michigan Broncos

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Michigan Wolverines (主队)

预测 94.24%1.06公平赔率
EV -3.88%
优势 -3.80%
Kelly -193.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.02

博彩公司预测分布
92.24%94.08%94.31%95.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.011.011.0299.01%98.63%99.01%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Western Michigan Broncos (客队)

预测 5.76%17.36公平赔率
EV +20.97%
优势 +0.999%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.220%

假设最高赔率为 21.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.59%5.92%5.69%7.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.0016.4416.5021.008.33%6.08%6.06%4.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Michigan Wolverines (主队):94.24%;Western Michigan Broncos (客队):5.76%。 对于“Western Michigan Broncos (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为17.36。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为21.00,对应+20.97%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +20.97%E +0.999%K +1.05%G +0.220%2.8%2026-09-05 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.97%E +0.999%K +1.05%G +0.220%3.8%2026-09-05 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.97%E +0.999%K +1.05%G +0.220%3.8%2026-09-05 23:29
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +20.97%E +0.999%K +1.05%G +0.220%3.8%2026-09-05 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.93%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%19.09I 5.24%NM 5.07%EV +9.97%E +0.522%K +0.551%G +0.055%3.3%2026-09-05 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +9.45%E +0.497%K +0.525%G +0.050%3.3%2026-09-05 23:35
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +9.45%E +0.497%K +0.525%G +0.050%3.3%2026-09-05 23:29
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +6.57%E +0.355%K +0.375%G +0.025%4.4%2026-08-01 08:00
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.69%E +0.205%K +0.217%G +0.008%4.6%2026-09-01 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.69%E +0.205%K +0.217%G +0.008%4.6%2026-09-01 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.69%E +0.205%K +0.217%G +0.008%4.6%2026-09-01 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +3.69%E +0.205%K +0.217%G +0.008%4.6%2026-09-01 22:20
BetUS🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.42%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%17.25I 5.80%NM 5.58%EV -0.630%E -0.037%K -0.039%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -2.07%E -0.122%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -2.07%E -0.122%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -2.07%E -0.122%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV -4.95%E -0.300%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV -4.95%E -0.300%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -4.95%E -0.300%K -0.319%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -7.83%E -0.489%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -13.59%E -0.906%K -0.971%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 07:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -13.59%E -0.906%K -0.971%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:35
Everygame🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -13.59%E -0.906%K -0.971%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 12:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -17.91%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -19.35%E -1.38%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:30
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -19.35%E -1.38%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:18
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -19.35%E -1.38%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:30
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -19.35%E -1.38%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -25.11%E -1.93%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.88%E -3.80%K -193.79%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -27.99%E -2.24%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.99%E -2.24%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:25
betano_uk🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -30.87%E -2.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.82%E -4.77%K -481.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -30.87%E -2.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 95.57%22.22I 4.50%NM 4.43%1.6%2026-09-05 23:35
Kalshi1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%2.0%2026-09-05 23:35
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%3.0%2026-09-05 23:30
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 94.77%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.23%3.4%2026-09-04 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%3.6%2026-09-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%3.6%2026-09-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%3.6%2026-09-05 23:35