Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines v Oklahoma Sooners

2026-09-12 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 52.19%1.92fair odd
EV -0.313%
Edge -0.164%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.14%52.22%53.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.75%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 47.81%2.09fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.87%47.86%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.972.0252.36%50.86%50.76%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 52.19%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 47.81%. For Michigan Wolverines (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -0.313%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.313%E -0.164%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.313%E -0.164%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.88%E -1.000%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 04:25
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.73%E -4.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 04:19
Caesars🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 17:02
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 03:49
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 03:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 03:49
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 03:49
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 03:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 03:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 03:45
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 03:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 03:44
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 03:45
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 03:54
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 03:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 03:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 14:10
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 03:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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