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Michigan Wolverines v Oklahoma Sooners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 34.57%2.89fair odd
EV -0.081%
Edge -0.028%
Kelly -0.043%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.87%34.59%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.702.722.8941.15%37.01%36.76%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)
Prediction 65.43%1.53fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.83%65.13%65.41%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.42%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 34.57%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 65.43%. For Michigan Wolverines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.892. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.890, with an expected value of -0.081%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.081%E -0.028%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -0.773%E -0.269%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.16%E -0.762%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 15:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -7.69%E -2.88%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.56%E -5.43%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 16:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.56%E -5.43%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:51 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -15.99%E -6.58%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -15.99%E -6.58%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.31%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69% | -0.2% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 16:08 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 1.2% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |