The School of Odds

Michigan Wolverines v Oklahoma Sooners

2026-09-12 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 55.25%1.81fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.600%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%55.27%55.21%57.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.701.8359.88%58.05%58.82%54.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 44.75%2.23fair odd
EV +0.699%
Edge +0.311%
Kelly +0.559%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.73%44.79%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.2550.00%47.35%47.17%44.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.10%E +0.600%K +1.32%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.10%E +0.600%K +1.32%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 15:39
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.11%E -0.621%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 15:39
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -1.11%E -0.621%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -9.15%E -4.51%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:39
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.87%E -2.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-23 20:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.87%E -2.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.22%E -1.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:25
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 20:25
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.53%E -3.23%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 20:25
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.53%E -3.23%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.57%E -2.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 20:24
Betr (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.53%E -3.23%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 14:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:09
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.08%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 20:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.64%E -3.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.699%E +0.311%K +0.559%G +0.004%3.6%2026-05-04 20:25
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.19%E -4.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 18:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.74%E -4.64%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.92%Paddy Power 1.83 (55.1%) / Caesars 2.25 (44.9%)Show all 2 combinations
Michigan Wolverines (Local)Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)Margin
Paddy Power 1.83 (55.1%)Caesars 2.25 (44.9%)+0.919%
Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 1.83 (55.1%)Caesars 2.25 (44.9%)+0.919%