Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines v Oklahoma Sooners

2026-09-12 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 34.77%2.88fair odd
EV -0.916%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%34.71%34.78%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.712.8538.46%36.85%36.90%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 65.23%1.53fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -4.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.29%65.22%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.83%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 34.77%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 65.23%. For Michigan Wolverines (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -0.916%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.916%E -0.321%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 07:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.65%E -0.948%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 08:10
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 07:15
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.67%E -6.19%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 07:19
SportsBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.09%E -1.86%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:25
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.44%E -2.00%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 07:25
ReBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -5.44%E -2.00%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 07:15
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 04:40
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.11%E -2.79%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 04:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 07:24
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:23
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.13%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:24
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 04:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.87%E -2.97%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 10:30
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.91%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.15%E -1.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 04:35
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.61%E -3.70%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 08:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.93I 34.13%NM 34.16%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.84%-0.1%2026-09-06 10:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-06 10:00
ProphetX2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-09-06 11:55
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-09-06 12:05