Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines v Oklahoma Sooners

2026-09-12 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 54.36%1.84fair odd
EV -0.530%
Edge -0.289%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.47%54.28%56.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8359.88%57.63%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 45.64%2.19fair odd
EV -0.495%
Edge -0.227%
Kelly -0.419%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%45.53%45.72%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.75%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 54.36%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 45.64%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.18, with an expected value of -0.495%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.530%E -0.289%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.530%E -0.289%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 15:39
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -7.34%E -3.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:39
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:09
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.86%E -0.867%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 01:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 19:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.52%E -2.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.97%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.495%E -0.227%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:09
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.495%E -0.227%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.495%E -0.227%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -0.495%E -0.227%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.80%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 02:29
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -7.80%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.