Michigan Wolverines v Oklahoma Sooners

2026-09-12 16:00 — NCAAF

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Option 1: Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Odds

1.6261.73%Min

1.6959.29%Mean

1.7058.82%Median

1.7158.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.50%1.802Min

57.11%1.751Max

56.36%1.774Mean

56.56%1.768Median

56.38%1.774IQM

56.44%1.772Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 56.38%

EV -3.59%Edge -2.10%Kelly -5.05%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Odds

2.0848.08%Min

2.1746.17%Mean

2.1845.87%Median

2.2544.44%Max

Consensus probabilities

42.89%2.331Min

44.50%2.247Max

43.64%2.291Mean

43.44%2.302Median

43.62%2.293IQM

43.56%2.296Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 43.62%

EV -1.86%Edge -0.826%Kelly -1.49%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Michigan Wolverines (Local) ▼	Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet	1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.59% E -2.10% K -5.05% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -4.04% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-05-21 19:40
ATG (SE)	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.91% E -2.25% K -4.16% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-10 11:09
betPARX	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.91% E -2.25% K -4.16% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-10 11:10
Bally Bet	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.91% E -2.25% K -4.16% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-10 11:10
Svenska Spel	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.91% E -2.25% K -4.16% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet (UK)	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.73%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.27%EV -6.66% E -3.11% K -5.84% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-21 19:39
Unibet (NL)	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.53% E -3.55% K -6.72% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-10 11:09
BetRivers	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.53% E -3.55% K -6.72% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-10 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.53% E -3.55% K -6.72% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-10 11:09
Unibet	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.53% E -3.55% K -6.72% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -4.15% E -2.44% K -5.93% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -7.53% E -3.55% K -6.72% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-10 11:09
Bovada	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -4.71% E -2.79% K -6.83% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -1.86% E -0.826% K -1.49% G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-08 20:57
Caesars	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -4.71% E -2.79% K -6.83% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -1.86% E -0.826% K -1.49% G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-05-04 20:25
Fanatics	1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -4.71% E -2.79% K -6.83% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -4.04% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-07 11:09
MyBookie.ag	1.69I 59.17% NM 55.76%EV -4.71% E -2.79% K -6.83% G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95% NM 44.24%EV -7.09% E -3.33% K -6.28% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-21 19:39
FanDuel	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.92%EV -5.28% E -3.14% K -7.76% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 43.08%EV -3.17% E -1.43% K -2.60% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-12 06:10
Coolbet	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -5.28% E -3.14% K -7.76% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -4.04% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-24 02:10
SportsBet	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.96%EV -5.84% E -3.50% K -8.72% G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25% NM 43.04%EV -3.60% E -1.63% K -2.98% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-12 06:10
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.84% E -3.50% K -8.72% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.04% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.84% E -3.50% K -8.72% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.04% E -1.84% K -3.37% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-01 18:30
NordicBet	1.66I 60.24% NM 56.54%EV -6.41% E -3.86% K -9.71% G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30% NM 43.46%EV -5.78% E -2.68% K -4.99% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-01 08:40
Betsson	1.66I 60.24% NM 56.54%EV -6.41% E -3.86% K -9.71% G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30% NM 43.46%EV -5.78% E -2.68% K -4.99% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-01 08:40
PointsBet (AU)	1.65I 60.61% NM 56.00%EV -6.97% E -4.22% K -10.72% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.00%EV -8.40% E -4.00% K -7.64% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-06 09:45
LeoVegas	1.62I 61.73% NM 56.22%EV -8.66% E -5.35% K -13.97% G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08% NM 43.78%EV -9.27% E -4.46% K -8.59% G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-07-05 23:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth