Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Michigan Wolverines v Oklahoma Sooners

Início: 2026-09-12 16:14 UTC

Final: Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma Sooners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Previsão 34.57%2.89odd justa
EV -0.081%
Vantagem -0.028%
Kelly -0.043%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.26%34.87%34.59%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.432.702.722.8941.15%37.01%36.76%34.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visitante)

Previsão 65.43%1.53odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -3.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.83%65.13%65.41%66.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.42%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 34.57%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visitante): 65.43%. Para Michigan Wolverines (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.892. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.890, com valor esperado de -0.081%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
ReBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.081%E -0.028%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -0.773%E -0.269%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 15:55
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 15:54
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 16:01
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.16%E -0.762%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 15:15
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 15:55
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 16:05
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:49
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:10
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 15:00
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.52%E -1.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 16:01
Caesars🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 15:58
SportsBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.88%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:35
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 16:01
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 15:55
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:55
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:30
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -7.69%E -2.88%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:59
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:10
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:10
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:10
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 16:00
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.56%E -5.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:04
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.56%E -5.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:51
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -15.99%E -6.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -1.86%E -1.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -15.99%E -6.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.31%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 16:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%-0.2%2026-09-12 15:59
Novig◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:08
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-09-12 14:20
ProphetX◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-09-12 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-09-12 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-09-12 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-09-12 16:10
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-09-12 15:59