Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Michigan State Spartans v Toledo Rockets

Início: 2026-09-05 00:00 UTC

Final: Michigan State Spartans 30–20 Toledo Rockets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Michigan State Spartans (Local)

Previsão 77.56%1.29odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -5.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.03%77.48%77.46%79.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.221.221.2784.75%81.84%81.97%78.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toledo Rockets (Visitante)

Previsão 22.44%4.46odd justa
EV +5.49%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.48%
Crescimento +0.081%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.07%22.52%22.54%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.624.314.254.7027.62%23.21%23.53%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Michigan State Spartans (Local): 77.56%; Toledo Rockets (Visitante): 22.44%. Para Toledo Rockets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.46. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.49%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%5.3%2026-09-04 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%5.3%2026-09-04 13:44
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%5.3%2026-09-04 13:45
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%5.3%2026-09-04 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%5.3%2026-09-04 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%5.3%2026-09-04 13:44
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.71%E -6.48%K -40.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%5.3%2026-09-04 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.48%E -7.19%K -47.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%6.0%2026-09-04 13:45
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.48%E -7.19%K -47.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +5.49%E +1.17%K +1.48%G +0.081%6.0%2026-09-04 13:45
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%4.2%2026-08-02 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%4.2%2026-08-02 22:20
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +0.999%E +0.222%K +0.285%G +0.003%4.2%2026-09-04 12:29
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -4.61%E -3.74%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -0.124%E -0.028%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.61%E -3.74%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:40
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.25%E -0.283%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:29
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.37%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -2.82%E -0.651%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.93%E -5.78%K -34.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.82%E -0.651%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 12:29
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.61%E -3.74%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:44
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.49%E -0.812%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 19:25
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:15
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.61%E -3.74%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 02:00
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.61%E -3.74%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.61%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -4.84%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:59
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.61%E -3.74%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 02:49
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.32%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -6.41%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:34
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -6.16%E -5.09%K -29.32%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -6.41%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.86%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:34
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.06%E -2.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.93%E -5.78%K -34.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 12:31
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.93%E -5.78%K -34.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 12:33
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.06%E -2.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.06%E -2.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:09
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 16:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.03%EV -1.50%E -1.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%EV -18.75%E -5.18%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93%0.4%2026-09-04 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25