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Michigan State Spartans v Toledo Rockets

2026-09-05 00:00 UTC — NCAAF

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23 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Michigan State Spartans (Casa)

Previsione 77.65%1.29quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -11.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.19%77.88%77.62%80.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.221.241.2586.21%81.68%80.65%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toledo Rockets (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.35%4.47quota equa
EV +7.28%
Vantaggio +1.52%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescita +0.140%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.73%22.12%22.38%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.234.154.8025.00%23.66%24.10%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.37%E -7.10%K -46.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +7.28%E +1.52%K +1.92%G +0.140%5.6%2026-07-26 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +6.16%E +1.30%K +1.64%G +0.101%4.4%2026-07-23 09:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.81%E +0.611%K +0.781%G +0.022%4.4%2026-07-27 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +2.81%E +0.611%K +0.781%G +0.022%5.8%2026-07-27 14:20
MyBookie.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.37%E -7.10%K -46.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +2.81%E +0.611%K +0.781%G +0.022%6.5%2026-07-27 14:20
Caesars1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.89%E -0.905%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 19:38
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.89%E -0.905%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:25
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.93%E -8.56%K -62.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-28 00:15
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 13:30
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 13:30
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 13:30
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 13:30
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 14:20
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 08:59
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 08:59
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 10:40
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 08:58
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 13:30
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 13:30
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -3.00%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 13:29
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.