Language:English
Memphis Tigers v Arkansas State Red Wolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Memphis Tigers (Local)
Prediction 78.66%1.27fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +7.54%
Growth +0.171%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.47%78.45%78.67%80.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.3085.47%82.33%82.64%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit)
Prediction 21.34%4.69fair odd
EV +2.41%
Edge +0.503%
Kelly +0.635%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%21.55%21.33%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.394.504.8027.78%22.76%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Tigers (Local): 78.66%; Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit): 21.34%. For Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.54%G +0.171% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 23:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.54%G +0.171% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.03%EV -0.097%E -0.077%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%EV -22.76%E -6.29%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.67%E -1.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 01:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.46%E -1.98%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -3.24%E -2.64%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -3.24%E -2.64%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 01:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.80%EV -3.24%E -2.64%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%EV -8.04%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.24%E -2.64%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.92%E -0.642%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 13:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.32%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.32%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 21:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 04:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.05%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -11.03%E -2.64%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 22:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.35%E +0.284%K +0.359%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 02:37 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 20:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.19%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.41%E +0.503%K +0.635%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 06:37 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.96%E -6.81%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.03% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.97% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |