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Memphis Tigers v Arkansas State Red Wolves
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Memphis Tigers (Local)
Predicción 78.66%1.27momio equitativo
EV +2.26%
Ventaja +1.74%
Kelly +7.54%
Crecimiento +0.171%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.47%78.45%78.67%80.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.3085.47%82.33%82.64%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visitante)
Predicción 21.34%4.69momio equitativo
EV +2.41%
Ventaja +0.503%
Kelly +0.635%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.73%21.55%21.33%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.394.504.8027.78%22.76%22.22%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Memphis Tigers (Local): 78.66%; Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visitante): 21.34%. Para Arkansas State Red Wolves (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.69. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.41%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.54%G +0.171% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 23:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV +2.26%E +1.74%K +7.54%G +0.171% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -23.19%E -6.44%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.03%EV -0.097%E -0.077%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%EV -22.76%E -6.29%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.67%E -1.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 01:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.46%E -1.98%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -3.24%E -2.64%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -3.24%E -2.64%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV -5.27%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 01:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.80%EV -3.24%E -2.64%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%EV -8.04%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.24%E -2.64%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 12:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.92%E -0.642%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 13:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.12%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.32%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.32%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.03%E -3.30%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.65%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 06:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 21:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 04:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.05%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.25%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.82%E -3.98%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -11.03%E -2.64%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 22:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.35%E +0.284%K +0.359%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 03:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 02:37 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.99%E -0.886%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 20:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.60%E -4.67%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.19%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.39%E -5.37%K -33.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +2.41%E +0.503%K +0.635%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.18%E -6.08%K -39.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.39%E -2.47%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 06:37 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.96%E -6.81%K -46.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.85%E -0.403%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.03% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.97% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |