The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 17:00 UTC

Final: Kentucky Wildcats 45–13 Youngstown St Penguins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 92.50%1.08fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -94.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.73%92.41%92.49%94.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0499.01%97.35%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Youngstown St Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 7.50%13.34fair odd
EV +19.96%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.266%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.99%7.59%7.51%10.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0013.0013.0016.0011.11%7.69%7.69%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 92.50%; Youngstown St Penguins (Visit): 7.50%. For Youngstown St Penguins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.34. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%3.3%2026-08-31 15:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%4.3%2026-09-01 21:19
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%4.3%2026-09-01 21:19
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%4.3%2026-09-01 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%4.3%2026-09-01 21:19
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%2.8%2026-08-31 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.57%E -6.51%K -657.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%5.7%2026-09-01 21:19
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.57%E -6.51%K -657.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%5.7%2026-09-01 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.57%E -6.51%K -657.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%5.7%2026-09-03 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.57%E -6.51%K -657.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%5.7%2026-09-03 23:55
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.45%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%14.55I 6.87%NM 6.55%EV +9.09%E +0.625%K +0.671%G +0.061%4.9%2026-09-04 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:15
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.31%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.69%EV -8.15%E -0.666%K -0.725%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 16:25
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.77%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.23%EV -13.03%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:04
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -15.65%E -1.39%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.65%E -1.39%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -21.27%E -2.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -28.77%E -3.03%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -28.77%E -3.03%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -32.52%E -3.61%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -32.52%E -3.61%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 01:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Novig◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-09-04 10:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-09-04 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-09-04 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-09-04 04:15