Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins

2026-09-05 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 91.55%1.09fair odd

EV -3.87%

Edge -3.68%

Kelly -77.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.50%91.55%91.95%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.041.041.0597.09%95.85%95.69%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Youngstown St Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 8.45%11.84fair odd

EV +9.81%

Edge +0.754%

Kelly +0.817%

Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.34%8.45%8.05%11.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.0010.5210.3013.0012.50%9.51%9.71%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 91.55%; Youngstown St Penguins (Visit): 8.45%. For Youngstown St Penguins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.84. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.00, producing a positive expected value of +9.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.70%E -5.53%K -190.00%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +9.81%E +0.754%K +0.817%G +0.080%	4.8%	2026-07-27 14:05
Fanatics🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.87%E -3.68%K -77.38%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +1.36%E +0.113%K +0.124%G +0.002%	3.6%	2026-08-03 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.87%E -3.68%K -77.38%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -7.09%E -0.644%K -0.709%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-28 00:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.23%EV -4.78%E -4.60%K -119.61%G +0.000%	9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV -18.91%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-28 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.87%E -3.68%K -77.38%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.76%E -2.08%K -2.32%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-28 00:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -4.78%E -4.60%K -119.61%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -32.43%E -4.05%K -4.63%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-27 14:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.