Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins

2026-09-05 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

94%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 93.93%1.06fair odd

EV -4.19%

Edge -4.11%

Kelly -209.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.82%93.93%93.93%95.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.011.021.021.0299%98%98%98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Youngstown St Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 6.07%16.48fair odd

EV +27.40%

Edge +1.30%

Kelly +1.37%

Growth +0.375%

assuming max odds 21.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

4.59%6.07%6.07%10.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

9.0013.7512.5021.0011%7%8%5%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.13%E -5.08%K -512.73%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +27.40%E +1.30%K +1.37%G +0.375%	3.8%	2026-07-24 07:25
Unibet (UK)	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.19%E -4.11%K -209.40%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -24.17%E -1.93%K -2.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-24 07:29
MyBookie.ag	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.19%E -4.11%K -209.40%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -24.17%E -1.93%K -2.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-24 07:30
LeoVegas	1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -4.19%E -4.11%K -209.40%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -45.40%E -5.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-24 07:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.