默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kentucky Wildcats v Youngstown St Penguins

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Kentucky Wildcats 45–13 Youngstown St Penguins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kentucky Wildcats (主队)

预测 92.50%1.08公平赔率
EV -3.80%
优势 -3.65%
Kelly -94.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.04

博彩公司预测分布
89.73%92.41%92.49%94.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.031.031.0499.01%97.35%97.09%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Youngstown St Penguins (客队)

预测 7.50%13.34公平赔率
EV +19.96%
优势 +1.25%
Kelly +1.33%
增长率 +0.266%

假设最高赔率为 16.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.99%7.59%7.51%10.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0013.0013.0016.0011.11%7.69%7.69%6.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kentucky Wildcats (主队):92.50%;Youngstown St Penguins (客队):7.50%。 对于“Youngstown St Penguins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.34。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为16.00,对应+19.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%3.3%2026-08-31 15:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%4.3%2026-09-01 21:19
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%4.3%2026-09-01 21:19
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%4.3%2026-09-01 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +19.96%E +1.25%K +1.33%G +0.266%4.3%2026-09-01 21:19
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%2.8%2026-08-31 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.57%E -6.51%K -657.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%5.7%2026-09-01 21:19
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.57%E -6.51%K -657.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%5.7%2026-09-01 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.57%E -6.51%K -657.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%5.7%2026-09-03 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.57%E -6.51%K -657.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +12.46%E +0.831%K +0.890%G +0.111%5.7%2026-09-03 23:55
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.45%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%14.55I 6.87%NM 6.55%EV +9.09%E +0.625%K +0.671%G +0.061%4.9%2026-09-04 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:15
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.31%EV -5.65%E -5.54%K -282.38%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.69%EV -8.15%E -0.666%K -0.725%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 16:25
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.77%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.23%EV -13.03%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:04
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -15.65%E -1.39%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.65%E -1.39%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -21.27%E -2.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.80%E -3.65%K -94.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -28.77%E -3.03%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -28.77%E -3.03%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -32.52%E -3.61%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.72%E -4.59%K -157.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -32.52%E -3.61%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 01:23
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Novig◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-09-04 10:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-09-04 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-09-04 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-09-04 04:15