Language:English
James Madison Dukes v Liberty Flames
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
James Madison Dukes (Local)
Prediction 66.97%1.49fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -6.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.07%66.90%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4573.53%70.87%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liberty Flames (Visit)
Prediction 33.03%3.03fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +0.775%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%32.93%33.10%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.742.902.883.1036.50%34.51%34.66%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 66.97%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 33.03%. For Liberty Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.40%E +0.775%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.40%E +0.775%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.40%E +0.775%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.40%E +0.775%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.901%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.901%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 22:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.901%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 05:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.93%E -6.56%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.901%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.56%E -0.524%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -2.22%E -0.751%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 05:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 12:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 16:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -2.88%E -0.980%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.53%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.53%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 02:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 22:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 05:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.58%E -3.96%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.58%E -3.96%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.93%E -6.56%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.93%E -6.56%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 01:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -9.49%E -3.46%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 23:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |