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James Madison Dukes v Liberty Flames
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
James Madison Dukes (Local)
Predicción 66.97%1.49momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -6.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%67.07%66.90%69.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.411.421.4573.53%70.87%70.42%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liberty Flames (Visitante)
Predicción 33.03%3.03momio equitativo
EV +2.40%
Ventaja +0.775%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.80%32.93%33.10%34.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.742.902.883.1036.50%34.51%34.66%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: James Madison Dukes (Local): 66.97%; Liberty Flames (Visitante): 33.03%. Para Liberty Flames (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.03. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.40%E +0.775%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.40%E +0.775%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.40%E +0.775%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.40%E +0.775%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.901%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.901%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 22:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.901%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 05:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.93%E -6.56%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.901%E -0.300%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.56%E -0.524%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -2.22%E -0.751%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 05:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 12:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.25%E -4.46%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 16:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.55%E -0.865%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -2.88%E -0.980%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 05:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.53%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.53%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 02:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 22:43 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.24%E -2.96%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.59%E -5.50%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.86%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.90%E -2.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 05:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.58%E -3.96%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 04:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.58%E -3.96%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 04:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.93%E -6.56%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.93%E -6.56%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 01:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.57%E -2.48%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -4.91%E -3.46%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -9.49%E -3.46%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 23:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |