The School of Odds

Illinois Fighting Illini v UAB Blazers

2026-09-04 01:00 UTC — NCAAF

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Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prediction 94.74%1.06fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -168.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.23%94.75%94.95%96.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.02100%99%99%98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

UAB Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 5.26%19.02fair odd
EV +36.69%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.538%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.74%5.25%5.05%8.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
10.5017.1716.5026.0010%6%6%4%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +36.69%E +1.41%K +1.47%G +0.538%2.9%2026-07-14 20:04
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.36%E -3.30%K -168.12%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +10.40%E +0.495%K +0.520%G +0.054%2.8%2026-07-20 20:35
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +10.40%E +0.495%K +0.520%G +0.054%3.8%2026-06-09 05:10
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -0.111%E -0.006%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 05:08
GTbets1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -0.111%E -0.006%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -2.74%E -0.148%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 05:09
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -13.25%E -0.803%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -5.26%E -5.26%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -21.14%E -1.41%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 20:50
MyBookie.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -23.77%E -1.64%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 21:04
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -25.08%E -1.76%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -26.40%E -1.89%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 18:29
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -26.40%E -1.89%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 18:30
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -4.31%E -4.27%K -430.99%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -44.80%E -4.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-02 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.