默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Illinois Fighting Illini v UAB Blazers

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 01:20 UTC

最终结果: Illinois Fighting Illini 42–23 UAB Blazers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Illinois Fighting Illini (主队)

预测 93.40%1.07公平赔率
EV -3.80%
优势 -3.69%
Kelly -126.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.03

博彩公司预测分布
91.07%93.31%93.63%96.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.021.021.03100.00%98.12%98.04%97.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

UAB Blazers (客队)

预测 6.60%15.15公平赔率
EV +71.66%
优势 +2.76%
Kelly +2.87%
增长率 +2.05%

假设最高赔率为 26.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.70%6.69%6.37%8.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.5014.6614.7526.009.52%6.82%6.78%3.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Illinois Fighting Illini (主队):93.40%;UAB Blazers (客队):6.60%。 对于“UAB Blazers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.15。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为26.00,对应+71.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -6.60%E -6.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +71.66%E +2.76%K +2.87%G +2.05%3.8%2026-09-04 01:15
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.60%EV -3.80%E -3.69%K -126.68%G +0.000%18.03I 5.55%NM 5.40%EV +19.04%E +1.06%K +1.12%G +0.213%2.6%2026-09-03 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.24%E +0.720%K +0.765%G +0.094%3.9%2026-09-04 01:15
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.24%E +0.720%K +0.765%G +0.094%3.9%2026-09-04 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.67%E -5.61%K -566.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +12.24%E +0.720%K +0.765%G +0.094%4.9%2026-09-04 00:35
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.67%E -5.61%K -566.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +12.24%E +0.720%K +0.765%G +0.094%4.9%2026-09-04 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.67%E -5.61%K -566.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +12.24%E +0.720%K +0.765%G +0.094%4.9%2026-09-03 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.67%E -5.61%K -566.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +12.24%E +0.720%K +0.765%G +0.094%4.9%2026-09-03 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.67%E -5.61%K -566.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +12.24%E +0.720%K +0.765%G +0.094%4.9%2026-09-03 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.67%E -5.61%K -566.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +12.24%E +0.720%K +0.765%G +0.094%4.9%2026-09-03 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.64%E +0.352%K +0.376%G +0.021%4.3%2026-09-04 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.67%E -5.61%K -566.83%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +5.64%E +0.352%K +0.376%G +0.021%5.3%2026-09-04 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.67%E -5.61%K -566.83%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +5.64%E +0.352%K +0.376%G +0.021%5.3%2026-09-04 01:15
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.90%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%15.70I 6.37%NM 6.10%EV +3.66%E +0.233%K +0.249%G +0.009%4.4%2026-09-04 00:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +2.34%E +0.151%K +0.161%G +0.004%4.5%2026-09-03 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +2.34%E +0.151%K +0.161%G +0.004%4.5%2026-09-03 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.966%E -0.064%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -4.27%E -0.294%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.57%E -0.541%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:55
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.57%E -0.541%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 00:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.17%E -1.09%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 20:10
Everygame🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.17%E -1.09%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.47%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:55
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.47%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.47%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.80%E -3.69%K -126.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -20.77%E -1.73%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.80%E -3.69%K -126.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -20.77%E -1.73%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.80%E -3.69%K -126.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -20.77%E -1.73%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.80%E -3.69%K -126.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -20.77%E -1.73%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:15
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.77%E -1.73%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.69%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.31%EV -25.72%E -2.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.80%E -3.69%K -126.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -30.68%E -2.92%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 01:12
betano_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.80%E -3.69%K -126.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -30.68%E -2.92%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 01:13
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.73%E -4.64%K -236.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -30.68%E -2.92%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 01:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.93%24.50I 4.08%NM 4.07%0.2%2026-09-04 00:20
Matchbook◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-09-04 00:59
Kalshi◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-09-04 00:35
Novig◎1.03I 97.09%NM 95.20%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.80%2.0%2026-09-04 01:14
ProphetX◎1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%3.0%2026-09-04 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 94.49%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.51%3.8%2026-09-04 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 94.49%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.51%3.8%2026-09-04 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 94.49%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.51%3.8%2026-09-04 01:15