Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bulls v UMass Minutemen

2026-10-17 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bulls (Local)

Prediction 60.61%1.65fair odd
EV +0.009%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%60.36%60.92%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.561.561.6569.44%64.22%64.10%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMass Minutemen (Visit)

Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV -0.740%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.64%39.08%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.432.5243.48%41.43%41.15%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bulls (Local): 60.61%; UMass Minutemen (Visit): 39.39%. For Buffalo Bulls (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.6499. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.6500, producing a positive expected value of +0.009%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.009%E +0.005%K +0.013%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.598%E -0.364%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.81%E -1.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 19:20
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.81%E -1.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 19:38
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.53%E -0.611%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 18:34
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 19:19
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:04
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:03
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 19:05
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -0.740%E -0.294%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.50%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 19:20
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.65%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 19:18
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.08%E -6.06%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 18:34
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -9.08%E -6.06%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 19:19
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.72%E -8.83%K -28.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-10-11 19:35
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%4.1%2026-10-11 19:19
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%4.5%2026-10-11 19:34
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%4.7%2026-10-11 19:34