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Buffalo Bulls v UMass Minutemen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Bulls (Local)
Prediction 67.94%1.47fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.13%67.74%67.88%69.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.391.4475.19%71.79%71.94%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UMass Minutemen (Visit)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +0.899%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 3.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%32.26%32.12%34.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.692.963.003.1837.17%33.82%33.33%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Bulls (Local): 67.94%; UMass Minutemen (Visit): 32.06%. For UMass Minutemen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +1.96%E +0.616%K +0.899%G +0.018% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 16:17 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.998%E +0.317%K +0.464%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.605%E -0.195%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.85%E -1.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.45%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.17%E -1.51%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.85%E -1.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 16:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.85%E -1.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.89%E -3.49%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 16:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -5.57%E -4.01%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -7.34%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.53%E -2.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 16:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.61%E -5.59%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.85%E -1.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.13%EV -2.17%E -1.51%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.87%EV -13.75%E -5.11%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 16:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 0.1% | 2026-10-17 16:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 17:00 |