Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Buffalo Bulls v UMass Minutemen

2026-10-17 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

Resultado del partido

26 corredores (8 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Buffalo Bulls (Local)

Predicción 58.32%1.71momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.846%
Kelly +1.99%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.27%58.04%58.23%61.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.621.7464.52%62.16%61.92%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

UMass Minutemen (Visitante)

Predicción 41.68%2.40momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.531%
Kelly +0.902%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.94%41.96%41.77%44.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.39%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Buffalo Bulls (Local): 58.32%; UMass Minutemen (Visitante): 41.68%. Para Buffalo Bulls (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.71. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.74, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.47%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +1.47%E +0.846%K +1.99%G +0.029%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 19:59
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -0.861%E -0.506%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 19:59
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -11.22%E -5.27%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.78%E -2.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.78%E -2.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 20:19
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.36%E -2.66%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.88%E -1.24%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 19:25
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.36%E -2.66%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.36%E -2.66%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 20:00
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.53%E -3.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.870%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 19:38
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.53%E -3.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.870%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 19:54
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.53%E -3.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 20:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.53%E -3.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 20:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.53%E -3.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 19:59
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.11%E -3.79%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.05%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 20:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 20:03
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -7.86%E -4.97%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 20:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.3%2026-10-11 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.3%2026-10-11 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.3%2026-10-11 19:04
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.3%2026-10-11 19:03
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.3%2026-10-11 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.3%2026-10-11 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.3%2026-10-11 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.7%2026-10-11 19:05
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -9.61%E -6.20%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV +1.29%E +0.531%K +0.902%G +0.012%5.7%2026-10-11 19:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%3.9%2026-10-11 20:14
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%3.9%2026-10-11 20:14
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%4.5%2026-10-11 19:34
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%4.8%2026-10-11 20:09
Arbitraje (18 combinaciones) +1.40%theScore Bet 1.74 (58.3%) / Unibet (SE) 2.43 (41.7%)Ver las 18 combinaciones
Buffalo Bulls (Local)UMass Minutemen (Visitante)Margen
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)BetRivers🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)Bally Bet🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)betPARX🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.3%)Unibet🎯 2.43 (41.7%)+1.40%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)BetRivers🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)Bally Bet🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)betPARX🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%
FanDuel🎯 1.70 (58.8%)Unibet🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%