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Montreal Alouettes v Toronto Argonauts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 71.42%1.40fair odd
EV +2.85%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +6.47%
Growth +0.184%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%71.47%71.73%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.331.4478.13%74.87%75.19%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Argonauts (Visit)
Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV +2.89%
Edge +0.802%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%28.53%28.27%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.333.353.6036.36%30.06%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 71.42%; Toronto Argonauts (Visit): 28.58%. For Toronto Argonauts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.85%E +1.98%K +6.47%G +0.184% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -21.41%E -7.78%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV +0.315%E +0.090%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -1.11%E -0.322%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.832%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-12 22:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.40%E -0.406%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.40%E -0.406%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.83%E -0.832%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.40%E -0.406%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -2.26%E -0.660%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.83%E -0.832%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.44%E -4.92%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +1.46%E +0.411%K +0.572%G +0.008% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.89%E +0.802%K +1.11%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -8.58%E -6.70%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.09%EV -10.83%E -3.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |