La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Montreal Alouettes v Toronto Argonauts
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Predicción 71.42%1.40momio equitativo
EV +2.85%
Ventaja +1.98%
Kelly +6.47%
Crecimiento +0.184%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%71.47%71.73%73.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.341.331.4478.13%74.87%75.19%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toronto Argonauts (Visitante)
Predicción 28.58%3.50momio equitativo
EV +2.89%
Ventaja +0.802%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.53%28.53%28.27%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.333.353.6036.36%30.06%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.85%E +1.98%K +6.47%G +0.184% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -21.41%E -7.78%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV +0.315%E +0.090%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -1.11%E -0.322%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.83%E -0.832%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-12 22:58 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.40%E -0.406%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.40%E -0.406%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.83%E -0.832%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| Caesars | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.40%E -0.406%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -2.26%E -0.660%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.83%E -0.832%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.44%E -4.92%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +1.46%E +0.411%K +0.572%G +0.008% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +2.89%E +0.802%K +1.11%G +0.032% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
| ReBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -8.58%E -6.70%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.09%EV -10.83%E -3.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |