The School of Odds
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Hamilton Tiger-Cats v Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 23:10 UTC

Final: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 13–14 Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local)

Prediction 64.56%1.55fair odd
EV +0.072%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%64.58%64.59%65.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.481.5569.93%67.11%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit)

Prediction 35.44%2.82fair odd
EV +0.643%
Edge +0.226%
Kelly +0.349%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.11%35.42%35.41%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.622.632.8442.02%38.17%38.02%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local): 64.56%; Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit): 35.44%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.643%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV +0.643%E +0.226%K +0.349%G +0.002%3.2%2026-07-05 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.775%E -0.277%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.775%E -0.277%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.775%E -0.277%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.84%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.84%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 22:05
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -1.84%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.16%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.16%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 22:55
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.38%E -2.02%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 22:58
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.51%E -1.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 22:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.16%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.87%E -1.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 22:50
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -8.93%E -3.47%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 22:09
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 22:30
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 22:55
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -1.22%E -0.797%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -12.11%E -4.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -1.22%E -0.797%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -12.11%E -4.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -1.22%E -0.797%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -12.11%E -4.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -1.22%E -0.797%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -12.11%E -4.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +0.072%E +0.046%K +0.130%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -13.18%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +0.072%E +0.046%K +0.130%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -13.18%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:04
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -2.51%E -1.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -13.89%E -5.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.50%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.50%EV -15.66%E -6.58%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%5.6%2026-07-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%5.6%2026-07-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%5.6%2026-07-05 23:05

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