L’École des cotes

Hamilton Tiger-Cats v Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 23:10 UTC

Score final : Hamilton Tiger-Cats 13–14 Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local)

Prévision 64.56%1.55cote équitable
EV +0.072%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.130%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.25%64.58%64.59%65.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.481.5569.93%67.11%67.57%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.44%2.82cote équitable
EV +0.643%
Avantage +0.226%
Kelly +0.349%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.11%35.42%35.41%38.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.622.632.8442.02%38.17%38.02%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV +0.643%E +0.226%K +0.349%G +0.002%3.2%2026-07-05 22:59
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.775%E -0.277%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 23:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.775%E -0.277%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 22:50
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.775%E -0.277%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.84%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 22:05
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.84%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 22:05
Caesars1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -1.84%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 23:04
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.16%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.16%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:49
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 22:55
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.38%E -2.02%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 22:58
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.51%E -1.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 22:05
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.16%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:10
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 22:45
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.87%E -1.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:40
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 22:50
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 22:50
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -8.93%E -3.47%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 22:09
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 22:45
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 22:30
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 22:55
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -1.22%E -0.797%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -12.11%E -4.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -1.22%E -0.797%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -12.11%E -4.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -1.22%E -0.797%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -12.11%E -4.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:05
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -1.22%E -0.797%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -12.11%E -4.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 23:05
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +0.072%E +0.046%K +0.130%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -13.18%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:05
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +0.072%E +0.046%K +0.130%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -13.18%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 22:04
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -2.51%E -1.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -13.89%E -5.71%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.50%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.50%EV -15.66%E -6.58%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%5.6%2026-07-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%5.6%2026-07-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%5.6%2026-07-05 23:05