Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva v Diana Shnaider

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 05:19 UTC

Final: Yulia Putintseva 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prediction 25.92%3.86fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.276%
Kelly +0.372%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%26.02%25.96%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.613.653.9031.75%27.70%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 74.08%1.35fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%73.98%74.04%75.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3381.30%77.97%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 25.92%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 74.08%. For Yulia Putintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.08%E +0.276%K +0.372%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-13 22:39
Pinnacle🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 25.10%EV +0.560%E +0.144%K +0.194%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.90%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-14 01:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -0.736%E -0.192%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 05:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -0.736%E -0.192%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 05:10
DraftKings🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -1.77%E -0.468%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 05:10
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.29%E -0.608%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 04:05
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 05:10
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 04:29
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 22:39
SportsBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -3.33%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 04:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -3.59%E -0.964%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 04:05
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 04:04
BetAnything🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 05:09
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 05:09
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 03:45
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 21:59
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 05:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:10
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 05:10
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 03:14
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 05:09
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 05:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 05:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 22:00
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 22:24
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.66%E -5.28%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-14 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 05:09
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 04:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 12:35
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 05:10
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-14 04:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.72%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-13 12:24
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.95%E -2.25%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-13 14:59
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.21%E -1.67%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-13 15:00
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-13 14:59
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -17.06%E -5.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -1.47%E -1.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -17.06%E -5.33%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -1.47%E -1.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -18.36%E -5.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.92%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-14 05:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-10-14 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-10-14 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-10-14 05:05
ProphetX◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-10-14 05:10
Novig◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-10-14 04:30
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%2.3%2026-10-14 05:05