Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xiyu Wang v Xinyu Wang

Kickoff: 2026-10-12 11:35 UTC

Final: Xiyu Wang 2–0 Xinyu Wang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xiyu Wang (Local)

Prediction 50.86%1.97fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%50.89%50.92%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.871.9157.14%53.76%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xinyu Wang (Visit)

Prediction 49.14%2.03fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%49.11%49.08%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0155.56%52.25%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xiyu Wang (Local): 50.86%; Xinyu Wang (Visit): 49.14%. For Xinyu Wang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.01, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 13:59
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 07:48
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 07:49
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.37%E -1.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 22:24
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -1.22%E -0.609%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-12 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-12 09:20
ReBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 10:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 21:24
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 21:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 06:34
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 09:30
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 11:20
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.65%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 08:44
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 11:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 10:39
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 22:30
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 08:44
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 08:49
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 07:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 07:59
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 08:00
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.71%E -0.857%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 10:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.71%E -0.857%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 07:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 07:59
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 21:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 21:23
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 05:49
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.10%E -4.33%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-12 04:35
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.10%E -4.33%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-12 04:38
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -1.22%E -0.609%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 11:33
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -7.44%E -4.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%EV -7.95%E -4.39%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%EV -8.59%E -4.62%K -9.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 21:24
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-12 11:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-12 11:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.54%E -6.41%K -14.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-12 11:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.00%E -6.29%K -14.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 09:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-10-12 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-10-12 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-10-12 11:30
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.0%2026-10-12 11:30
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-10-12 11:30